Doralee

The honest truth about Doralee's record is that it is modest. One win from 20 races puts her win rate at around 1 in 20, or 5%, and she has gone the last six races without troubling the winner's enclosure. But there is a reason she keeps running: she places. Six times from those 20 outings she has finished in the frame, which means she has given her the yard something to cheer on roughly a third of her career appearances. That matters in racing — a horse that consistently runs close is worth more than one that occasionally flatters and usually disappoints.

What is worth watching is her recent trajectory. Her last six runs, reading from most recent backwards, read 9-6-3-3-5-11, and those two thirds suggest she was finding some form before her last couple of outings dipped again. She raced just yesterday, so she is clearly fit and active. At Class 6 — the entry level of British racing, where the competition is at its most accessible — she has won 1 from 13 races at that level, or about 1 in 13. That is a narrow return, but it also tells you this is where she belongs and where her next chance at a winner will likely come. William Pyle, who rides her most regularly, has won once from six rides together, or roughly 1 in 6 — a respectable partnership at this level. Redcar is the track that gave her her finest hour. If she turns up there again on a good day, it would be unwise to completely ignore her.