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Lingfield

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Lingfield (AW)
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Flat race · weights set to make it fair Underrated horse: Fidelius About 5 furlongs Unknown Standard race 5 runners
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Fidelius Underrated horse
T. Marquand · R. Cowell · 5yo · 9st 9lb · Official rating 84
£1 wins 91p · 57 Very strong chance
R. Cowell's horses finish 60% of their races
C&D Form
57
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 10/11
£1 wins 91p · 57 Very strong chance
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.91 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Field size ✓ Jockey overall starts
Has won at this course and distance Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time Won at this distance 5 times
Why this score
  • R. Cowell's horses finish 60% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • 5 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • Has won 1 time at this course from 5 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing hood Won 1 of last 5 Won here 4 times Won at this distance 5 times
Why this score
  • R. Hughes's runners finish 71.4% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • R. Hughes has a 14.3% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing cheekpieces Won 2 of last 5 Won here 3 times Won at this distance 3 times
Why this score
  • D. Hitchins's runners finish 100% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • Carrying 125 lbs today, which is a lot of weight. The extra pounds take their toll as the race goes on.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • T. Carroll's horses finish their races 49% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • 5 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • T. Carroll wins only 10.3% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Won at this distance 12 times
Why this score
  • 12 wins at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
  • D. Evans's horses finish their races 50% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Has won here 1 time in 12 visits. That record at this course is a good sign.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Lingfield on Thursday ?