Kilbeggan
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Joe Quinn Transport Longford Handicap Hurdle
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite despite never having won in eight career races — punters are clearly seeing something in this six-year-old that the form book hasn't yet confirmed. The trainer and jockey have a strong record together, winning roughly one in seven races as a combination, which gives this some substance behind the price. That said, Sheer Raz has yet to visit the winner's enclosure and will need to improve on a run of third, fifth, third to get the job done here.
Market favourite (4.33)
TrackLab Insight
A five-year-old still looking for a first win from seven career races, but there is a relevant plus here — a third-place finish at this exact course just 37 days ago. That recent Kilbeggan experience gives it an edge over several rivals who are racing here for the first time or returning from long breaks. Two placed finishes from seven races shows some ability, but it has never crossed the line first and will need to find more than it has shown so far.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict singles this horse out as the one to beat, and the evidence from Down Royal supports it — two second-place finishes there, including one just 0.8 lengths behind Kalsman last time out. He hasn't won in over four years, but the recent form is the best it has looked in a long time, and today's slightly soft ground suits a horse whose only wins have come in similar conditions. The market has him as second favourite, which reflects the genuine case here.
2nd highest rated (OR 95)
TrackLab Insight
Twenty-seven races into a career and still without a win — that is the defining fact about Blue Reed, and it is hard to look past. Five placed finishes suggest the horse is competitive enough to be there or thereabouts, but 27 attempts without getting to the front is an unusually long winless run even at this level. The most recent result at Bellewstown is unknown, which makes it hard to read where the form is right now.
Winless from 27 career races
TrackLab Insight
The second shortest price in the race at 5.5, which is striking for a horse that has never won in 14 career races — something the market must be factoring in based on paddock intel or morning gallops rather than the form book. The best recent run was a third at Down Royal 75 days ago, but a 46-length beating at Wexford last time out is a tough platform to build from. The jockey and trainer have a solid record together, winning roughly one in five races as a pair, which may explain the market interest.
Winless from 14 career races
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the field with just six career races, Annie's Belle has a single placed finish to show for those outings and was beaten 14.5 lengths last time out at Wexford. For a horse still learning the ropes, stepping up to a 15-runner field at 2m 3f on slightly soft ground is a stiff ask. The data is thin and the form modest — this is one where honesty demands caution.
Relatively inexperienced (6 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Twenty-eight career races and just one win — a record that tells you this horse shows up without often delivering — but there is a relevant recent clue: a second-place finish at this very course just 37 days ago. She ran fifth at Limerick just ten days ago, so she is fit and has Kilbeggan form that several rivals lack. The problem is her single career win came on heavy ground, and her record across most other conditions including today's soft-ish surface is poor.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
The most striking fact here is the turnaround time — this horse runs again just two days after its last outing at Tramore, which is almost unheard of and raises obvious questions about why. Six career races without a win and a run of results that includes a 17th-place finish does little to inspire confidence. Without knowing the result of that race two days ago, there is very little to build a positive case on.
Runs again after just 2 days
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in the field by 5lbs, Kalsman arrives off the back of a win at Down Royal 49 days ago — but the form since is unclear, and the odds have drifted sharply from what looked like near-certainty. Crucially, his two career wins have both come on fast, dry ground, and today's slightly soft conditions are a real concern given he has never won on anything looser. The one thing in his favour: his jockey and trainer have won together in their only previous outing.
Top rated by 5lbs
Best career win rate in field (1 in 12)
TrackLab Insight
Rated 12lbs below the field average and back on track just three days after finishing 15th at Limerick — beaten nearly 77 lengths — Sekifi is one of the hardest horses in this field to get excited about. Thirteen races without a win or a placed finish tells its own story, and racing again this quickly after such a heavy defeat raises questions rather than providing answers. A very tough profile in a competitive field.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below average
Runs again after just 3 days
TrackLab Insight
Carrying the lowest weight in the field is usually an advantage in a race like this, but it only matters if the horse can get round — and a fall at Clonmel followed by a 24-length beating at Down Royal were the last two completed efforts before a 212-day break. Fifteen career races without a win or a placed finish is a record that demands honest appraisal. The weight allowance flatters what is otherwise a very difficult profile to back.
Carries lowest weight in field
TrackLab Insight
Four races, four finishes deep in the pack — including a 71-length beating at Down Royal last time out — and a big price of 41/1 tells you what the market thinks of Brother Hollie's chances here. At just four years old there is time to improve, but this horse has never raced on slightly soft ground and has given no indication so far that it can compete at this level. One to watch from the stands rather than the betting ring.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field with 32 career races — more than double the field average of 14 — and still without a single win to show for it, which is a genuinely extraordinary record. Three placed finishes across those 32 outings suggest some ability, but a 43-length beating at Limerick just ten days ago is the latest evidence that the winning moment remains elusive. The name is apt.
Most experienced (32 runs, field avg 14)
TrackLab Insight
The longest absence in the field by some distance — this horse has not raced for 449 days — and the form before the break made for grim reading, with finishes of 10th, 17th, and 13th in its final three runs. No wins, one place from six career races, a new jockey-trainer combination riding together for the first time, and ground conditions it has never experienced before all stack up against it. Essentially a complete unknown returning from over a year off.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Absent 449 days (longest in field)
TrackLab Insight
The longest price in the race at 51/1 and the form backs up why — four races producing a pulled-up effort, a result we don't know, and a 16th-place finish last time out at Bellewstown beaten 68 lengths. At four years old there is room to grow, but this horse has never raced on slightly soft ground and has given no indication yet of being able to compete at this level. The data is thin and what there is points firmly in one direction.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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