Kilbeggan
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Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
This horse has been off the track for 154 days — the longest absence of anyone in this field — and returns having finished 11th in each of its last two runs before that break. Comebacks after long spells away are always uncertain, and there is nothing in the recent record to suggest this one will be different. Hard to make a case for it on current evidence.
Absent 154 days (longest in field)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a long way — 20 races compared to a field average of just 5 — and the market has made it favourite at 3.5. Its hurdles debut at Clonmel two and a half weeks ago produced a second-place finish, and the editorial notes that the winner of that race has since boosted the form, making that run look even better. Zero wins from 20 races is a hard truth, but this horse appears to be stepping up at exactly the right moment.
Most experienced (20 runs, field avg 5)
Market favourite (3.5)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Trained by Gordon Elliott, one of the most powerful yards in Irish racing, and carries the highest official rating in the field — three pounds clear of the next-best. The recent form is harder to read, with a pulled-up or unseated run at Kilbeggan 16 days ago followed by a distant fifth at Tramore before that. The talent and the rating suggest this horse should be competitive, but that unexplained last run at this very course needs answering.
Top rated by 3lbs
TrackLab Insight
Crucially, Facile Ocean finished second at this exact course just 16 days ago, making it one of the few horses in this field with recent, relevant course form. That run came on better ground than today's slightly soft conditions, which is an unknown factor, but finishing within three lengths of the winner here last time out is a strong reference point. Second in the market at 5.2, this horse has quietly made a case for itself.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
TrackLab Insight
One of the more lightly raced horses here with just three outings, but the most recent of those was a distant fifth at Killarney, beaten over 64 lengths — a heavy defeat that is hard to look past. There was a promising second-place finish at Cork earlier in its career, but that was over seven months ago and the momentum has not been maintained. This horse needs to find significantly more to be a factor here.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Making its racecourse debut today, so there is simply no form to judge it on — a complete unknown stepping into a 15-runner field. The jockey-trainer partnership has yet to win together from four attempts, which does not add confidence. First-time runners can surprise, but this one is a leap of faith at 17/1.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
Eleven races without a win is a significant hurdle to overcome, and the most recent run — a distant fourth, beaten over 52 lengths at Wexford — is not the kind of warm-up that inspires confidence. The jockey-trainer combination has yet to win together from 21 races, which compounds the concern. There are more appealing options in this field.
Winless from 11 career races
TrackLab Insight
Two races, two poor finishes — seventh and then 13th — and today's slightly soft ground is conditions it has never encountered before. The jockey and trainer are working together for the first time, which means there is no established rhythm to fall back on. Nothing in the data points to a horse ready to take a step forward here.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Two races, two fifth-place finishes, and no win or place to speak of — this horse has given very little reason for confidence so far. It has never raced on slightly soft ground like today's conditions, adding another unknown to an already thin profile. With a jockey-trainer partnership that wins roughly 1 in 34 races together, there is not much here to grab onto.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Six years old and racing for the very first time, which is unusually late — most horses have several seasons behind them by this age. There is no form at all to work with, and the jockey and trainer have not teamed up before, so even the human side of the equation is untested. At 51/1, the market is telling you what it thinks.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
Making its racecourse debut today with nothing on the record — no wins, no defeats, no form of any kind to assess. The jockey-trainer partnership wins roughly 1 in 17 races together, which is a modest but workable record. Like all debutants, it is a question mark, but at 51/1 the market is not expecting fireworks.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
Eight years old and still searching for a first win, this horse has one race on record — a 12th-place finish — and no other form to point to. At 67/1, it is one of the longest-priced runners in the field, and the data gives no reason to argue with that assessment. This is as thin a profile as you will find in this race.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
A four-year-old racing for the third time in under a month, which is a busy schedule for a young horse still learning the game. The most recent two results are not recorded in the data, so it is difficult to gauge current form — the only firm number is a 10th-place finish at Down Royal 27 days ago. At 126/1, the market has very little faith, and the limited visible evidence does not push back against that.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Another first-time runner in a field that has several, stepping out at four years old with absolutely nothing on the clock. The jockey-trainer combination has yet to win together from 24 attempts, which is a concern worth noting. There is no data to build a case on, and at 67/1, backing this would be purely speculative.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
Just one race to its name and today's slightly soft ground is new territory, so almost everything about this four-year-old remains unknown. The result from that sole outing at Down Royal is not recorded in the data, making it genuinely impossible to draw any conclusions about ability. At 101/1, this is firmly in the "unknown quantity" category.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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