Goodwood
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Awaiting result
Turf track
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All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 2/1
£1 wins £2 · 31 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- R. Hannon wins 12.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
No wins yet from three races, but the most recent run — a second place beaten less than a length at Wolverhampton two weeks ago — shows this horse is knocking hard on the door. Draws in stall 3, another good low-draw position, and is trained by Richard Hannon whose yard has been in fine form with five winners in the past fortnight. If there's a horse in this field ready to convert a near-miss into a win, Law Court fits the profile.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- Results are getting better with each run. A horse on the way up has a good chance of a win soon.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Draws well in stall 5, bang in the low-draw sweet spot at Goodwood where horses numbered 1-7 win far more often than the rest. The concern is that this horse has only ever raced on artificial surfaces — today's normal turf is a completely unknown quantity. A big drift in the market from the opening price suggests punters have noticed that uncertainty.
Never raced on normal ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 1 win at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
- Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- A 7% record at this course for R. Hughes. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 4.5 despite having only raced twice in its life — and neither of those came on turf, so today's normal ground is an unknown. What the market is backing is real: this horse won on its second ever race, which suggests ability, and draws brilliantly in stall 1, right in the low-draw sweet spot. The big question is whether a horse this lightly tested can handle the step up to a 14-runner contest on unfamiliar ground.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Market favourite (4.5)
£1 wins £7.50 · 13 Solid chance
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
13
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- A. Balding has won 14.3% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The longest absence in the entire field — off the track for roughly nine months — makes this a significant unknown, regardless of what the form says. What the form does say is intriguing: one win and one place from just two races, and that win came at Chester, a very different type of course to Goodwood. Andrew Balding's yard has been in decent nick with five winners in the past fortnight, but a horse this rusty needs to be trusted on faith.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Absent 280 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- C. Hills wins 12.9% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Returning from roughly five months off, which always introduces uncertainty, but the run before that break was a third in a Class 3 race at Doncaster — a higher grade than most in this field have competed in. Draws in stall 8, just into the mid-draw bracket where the win rate at Goodwood is meaningfully lower than the low draws. One win and two places from five races is a fair record, but the jockey and trainer have combined for just one win from 20 races together.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £14.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse is happy on Good ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- J. Jones wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Wears cheekpieces today — a piece of equipment fitted to sharpen a horse's focus — and has a decent record at this mile distance, winning one in every three races at this trip. Four of five career runs have resulted in a win or a place, which makes the eighth-place finish at Newmarket 18 days ago look like the outlier rather than the trend. One of the more consistent horses in the field, even if not the most fancied.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 12.4% overall win rate for C. Cox. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Only two races in, but one of them was a win — not bad for a horse still learning the ropes. Stall 7 is the last of the low-draw positions at Goodwood, so the draw is about as good as it gets before the advantage starts fading. The most recent run, a fifth at Leicester 19 days ago, was a step back from that earlier win, though it remains one of the least experienced horses in the field.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- The Good ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- I. Mohammed has a 3.7% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
No wins from three races, and this horse has never run on normal turf — both are reasons for caution. Draws in stall 2 which is a decent low-draw position, but the form reading of sixth, eighth, and third going back in time doesn't suggest a horse in strongly improving form. At 26/1, the market isn't interested, and it's difficult to argue strongly against that assessment with the data available.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- 1 win at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The race analyst's pick, and the case makes sense: last time out at Pontefract was a win, and this horse has a solid one-from-three record at today's mile trip. Wears cheekpieces and returns after roughly six months off, which is a risk, but the draw in stall 10 puts it in mid-field territory where the win rate at Goodwood drops off compared to the lower stalls. The form before that Pontefract win was patchy, so the question is which version shows up.
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has won at this distance 1 time before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field — winning roughly one in every three races — and trained by George Scott whose yard has been electric recently, winning four from just ten runners in the past two weeks. The most recent run result from Southwell 63 days ago isn't listed in the data, which makes it hard to read current form with confidence. Drawn 12 in the less favourable mid-draw section, but the underlying numbers here are hard to ignore.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Trainer in best form (4 from 10 last 2wk)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 1 win at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
- D. Swift has a good 20% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Hasn't raced in roughly six months and has never run on normal turf, making this something of a leap in the dark. Drawn 13, which sits in the mid-draw bracket where horses win at roughly half the rate of those drawn low here. The market has pushed it out to 34/1, and with the jockey and trainer both winless in the past two weeks, it's hard to make a strong case.
Never raced on normal ground
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 33% win rate on this ground from 3 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- S. De Sousa wins 15.5% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Rated 4lbs below the field average, so carrying the least weight alongside Lyra Lea and Celestarak — a small advantage in a race like this. The standout here is that this horse has the best record on today's normal ground conditions of anyone in the field, winning one from three on it. Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has been in red-hot form with eight wins from 34 rides in the past two weeks, making this an interesting combination despite the modest overall profile.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Jockey in best form (8 from 34 last 2wk)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- D. Menuisier has won 12.1% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the field, which is a genuine advantage, but everything else in the data points away from a win here. Three races, no wins, no places, and a form line that goes 5th, 8th, 12th — heading in the wrong direction. Returning from five months off, having never won, with a deteriorating form profile: it's hard to find a compelling reason based on the available evidence.
Carries lowest weight in field
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- 202 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
- R. Millman wins only 6.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Has course form at Goodwood — a third place here six months ago — which is more than most in this field can claim. However, the data flags a concerning pattern: no wins from three races on today's normal ground conditions, and the draw in stall 14 is the worst position at this course, where the win rate drops sharply. Returning from six months off makes this a tough ask, even if the course familiarity is a small point in her favour.
Lowest rated, 4lbs below average
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.