UK time :

Northern Empire

Northern Empire broke his duck in January when he won a Class 2 race at Lingfield Park over 7 furlongs, and that victory has already told his trainer Ed Walker something crucial about where this three-year-old belongs. The horse has won just once from eight career races—a 12 per cent win rate—but the pattern of his form reveals he is a very different prospect over middle distances than he is in sprints. Over 7 furlongs to a mile, he has won 1 of 5 races, a 20 per cent return that suggests Walker is still piecing together the right formula for a horse who clearly has ability but has struggled to find his rhythm.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Night Of Thunder
Mother
Against Rules
Trainer
Owner
Tbt Racing
Official rating
76

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
8
Career races
1
Wins
12.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
37.5%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
74 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The journey since that Lingfield triumph seven months ago has been bumpy. His recent form reads 3-5-12-8-14-1, and when Walker ran him over 6 furlongs at Newcastle in April, the horse was simply outpaced from distance—a reminder that you cannot shorten a horse's trip and expect the same result. The trainer was candid about the mistake: he had asked too much of Northern Empire in a sprint against better-class sprinters, and the plan now is to step back up to 7 furlongs or even a mile where the horse's strengths come to the fore. That is not the thinking of a trainer giving up on a horse; it is the thinking of someone who has learned exactly what he needs to do next. Walker's Upper Lambourn yard has sent out 76 winners this season, so there is plenty of form and horsepower around the place, which means when the trainer makes a decision about a horse's future, it tends to be an informed one.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 20% win rate

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Loves
5F – 6½F
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
5 Aug
3rd
Brighton
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
1 Jul
5th
Epsom Downs
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners
27 May
12th
Kempton Park
7f – 1m · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
8 May
8th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners
3 Apr
14th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
17 Jan
🏆 Won
Lingfield Park
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners
22 Dec
2nd
Lingfield Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 12 runners
1 Dec
4th
Kempton Park
7f – 1m · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
Ashley Lewis(5) Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 second 17 Jan 50%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 2 other 27 May 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Apr 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 8 May 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 1 Jul 0%
Brighton
Undulating
1 1 third 5 Aug 0%