Galway
·
Galway Handicap
Starts in
17h 39min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
18+ | Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org Ad: we earn commission if you join a bookmaker via our links.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 3/1
£1 wins £3 · 23 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- G. F. Carroll wins 8.2% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- N. Meade wins 13% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
Best win rate in the field at one in four, but here's the catch: never raced on very wet ground, and finished poorly on good ground (0 wins from 3). Won at Leopardstown 68 days ago and finished 3rd here at Galway 90 days ago, but that course form doesn't translate to wet-ground ability, and the trainer-jockey combination has not won together from 11 attempts.
Never raced on very wet ground
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 14.1% overall win rate for J. Patrick O'Brien. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- With an 8.3% win rate overall, C. Hayes is one of the more dependable riders.
- Carrying 9.3 lbs more than the average for this race. That makes winning harder.
TrackLab Insight
Three-year-old on three straight top-3 finishes (3rd, 1st, 2nd in last three) with a recent win at Killarney just 22 days ago, suggesting genuine form. Carries lowest weight in the field and wins at this distance (33% win rate), but has never raced on very wet ground and holds the lowest rating by 7lbs below the field average—an inexperienced horse stepping into unknown conditions.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Never raced on very wet ground
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With an average finish of 1.7 in recent runs, this horse keeps finishing close to the front. It would not need much luck to win.
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- N. Burns wins 6.7% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Three-year-old with real momentum: two wins in the last six races, including victories at both Roscommon (15 days ago) and Gowran Park (38 days ago), plus a near-miss third just 57 days ago. The problem: never raced on very wet ground, and the trainer-jockey combination has won zero times together from ten attempts despite the horse's recent sparkle.
Never raced on very wet ground
3 straight top-3 finishes
£1 wins £6.50 · 9 Could surprise
S. Heffernan wins 8.6% of their races at this course
9
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Heffernan wins 8.6% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- An 8.6% overall win rate for S. Heffernan. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- L. Doyle wins only 7.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Eight-year-old with six career wins and the standout marker flags genuine experience—won at Killarney just 22 days ago. The key strength: wins roughly one in every three on yielding ground (4 wins from 11), so wet conditions should suit, but today's very wet surface might be wetter than even that record suggests.
One of the more successful in the field (6 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Today's ground is Soft To Heavy, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- C. Murphy wins only 6.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Eight-year-old on the back of three straight top-3 finishes, including a near-miss 2nd at the Curragh just 12 days ago—genuine form momentum. Win rate is poor overall (one in 13 races), but showed three top-3 finishes lately; however, has never won on heavy ground (0 wins from 5) and zero wins on soft ground despite that being the condition type today.
Best record at this trip (1 from 7)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has won over this distance 1 time. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
- R. O'Sullivan wins 7.7% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Five-year-old with one previous win at Galway, making this the only course winner in the field—that's a concrete advantage. Wins roughly one in four on soft ground (1 win from 4), so wet conditions should help, and recent form includes a 3rd place just 33 days ago, though it has run poorly at Ballinrobe and Galway since.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With a 4.3% win rate overall, R. Colgan is one of the more dependable riders.
- A. J. Martin wins 9.4% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 4.3% career win rate for R. Colgan. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
Six-year-old chasing a first win after five races with zero victories and zero top-3 finishes—the worst record in the field. Never raced on very wet ground, and recent finishes (6th, 7th, 5th, 9th, 9th) show no clear upward trend; this is a horse still searching for form.
Never raced on very wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 7.8% overall win rate for J. M. Sheridan. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- J. Patrick O'Brien wins 14.1% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Finished 21st last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 3lbs but this is a puzzle: Glenroyal wins two races out of every three on wet ground, yet has never raced on very wet ground like today's conditions—uncharted territory for the favourite at 1/12. Recent form has stalled (21st, 18th, 8th in last three), and the horse struggles badly on left-handed galloping tracks, which describes Galway exactly.
Top rated by 3lbs
Never raced on very wet ground
Market favourite (1/12)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The Soft To Heavy ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- Has won over this distance 1 time. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
- A 0% career win rate for D. O'Leary. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
Four-year-old with just one win in six races, and that sole victory came 534 days ago at this exact distance (1m 6f). Never raced on very wet ground, so this bog-like surface is a complete unknown, and recent form has deteriorated sharply—finished 8th last time out just eight days ago.
Never raced on very wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A. Melia has a good 50% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Came 12th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
TrackLab Insight
Three-year-old with only two wins in twelve races and zero victories on soft ground from three attempts. The standout marker (three straight top-3 finishes) is outdated—his last six races show 12th, 13th, 11th, which suggests that run of form has completely evaporated, and today's wet conditions offer no help given his poor record in the mud.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- D. Browne wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Most experienced horse in the field at nine years old with 39 career races, and the only relevant standout: wins roughly one in five on heavy ground (2 wins from 11). Raced just 9 days ago and carries the lowest weight aside from one rival, but overall win rate is poor (one in ten), and recent form shows distance between finishes—10th last time, not inspiring.
Most experienced (39 runs, field avg 17)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.