Galway
·
Nursery Handicap
Starts in
16h 9min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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£1 wins £1.88 · 29 Strong chance
7 runners today is a good number for this horse
29
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 15/8
£1 wins £1.88 · 29 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.88 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 7 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- N. Crosse has won 5.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- D. McLoughlin has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Second-highest rated in the field and the only runner with a top-3 finish to her name—a third at Naas 40 days ago—which sets her apart from most rivals here. However, she hasn't been seen since that third and has no wins from five races, so recent form is thin and she carries a hood, suggesting she may need settling. Draws low in stall 2, which statistically favours runners at Galway.
2nd highest rated (OR 68)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 7-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- Finished 11th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.
TrackLab Insight
Lightly raced with just three runs and a significant gap—58 days—since her last race, so you're dealing with a data vacuum here and no recent form to assess. All three runs have resulted in mid-field finishes without a top-3, and that 11th at Cork most recently doesn't suggest imminent improvement. Draws in stall 3, which is in the low group and historically strong at this track.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 7-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- The ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- M. P. Fogarty has a 0% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated here by 7lbs, but hasn't yet delivered on that promise—three races without a top-3 finish tells you the ability isn't translating to results yet. Last race was a fifth at Thurles 19 days ago, which is his best effort so far, though he'll need to improve noticeably to trouble the winner here. Draws in stall 7, which offers no draw advantage at this course.
Top rated by 7lbs
Lightly raced (3 career races)
£1 wins £7.50 · 12 Solid chance
7 runners today is a good number for this horse
12
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 7 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- A 7.1% overall win rate for D. O'Connor. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- 7f may not be the right distance. Distance is one of the basics, and this one is a worry.
TrackLab Insight
Lightly raced with only two outings and both results identical—a sixth at consecutive tracks—which suggests she's running to a consistent level but not yet competitive enough. Carries the lowest weight only after Silk Twist and is rated 4lbs below the field average, indicating limited experience or ability compared to rivals. Draws in stall 5, offering no draw advantage.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 7 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- An 8.5% overall win rate for T. Mullins. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- J. Dalton has a 5.4% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated runner here, 9lbs below the field average, and carries the lightest weight, yet still hasn't managed a top-3 finish from four races. Recent form shows some progression—a seventh most recently and an eighth before that—suggesting he's slowly finding his level, but he remains well down the pecking order. Draws in stall 1, which carries a historically decent win rate at this course and distance (11% from 443 races).
Lowest rated, 9lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 7-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- N. Meade wins 13% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Only 13th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
TrackLab Insight
Only runner with two top-3 finishes in the last three races, including that third at the Curragh 30 days ago, showing he can get competitive in small fields. His most recent effort was a disappointing 13th at Dundalk 11 days ago, a significant step backwards that raises questions about consistency. Stall 6 offers marginal draw advantage at this course and distance.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 7-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- R. Colgan wins 4.3% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- R. Colgan wins 4.3% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Lightly raced with three outings, but the standout marker claiming 'three straight top-3 finishes' contradicts the data, which shows a 10th, 14th, and an unknown result—this horse has no top-3 finishes at all. Lowest-rated runner leaves him without the class edge, and recent efforts have been disappointing. Draws in stall 4, neutral for this course.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
3 straight top-3 finishes
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.