Galway
·
Nursery Handicap
Starts in
15h 56min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 7/4
£1 wins £1.75 · 29 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.75 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Wecouldavehaditall is the market favourite but carries that tag despite five races without a win and only one top-3 finish to show for it — a third at Naas 40 days ago, narrowly beaten. She's never raced on very wet ground and ran just 22 days ago for a sixth-place finish, so the price reflects some optimism that hasn't yet been justified by results.
Never raced on very wet ground
Market favourite (7/4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. P. Fogarty wins 0% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Melchizedek is top-rated by 5 pounds and showed improvement with a fifth-place finish at Thurles 19 days ago, narrowly beaten by 4.5 lengths. However, he's never raced on very wet ground, carries a lot of weight at 143lbs, and his earlier runs saw him finish 11th and 13th — suggesting the fifth was an outlier rather than a new level.
Top rated by 5lbs
Never raced on very wet ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Miss Cornelia is a concern: she hasn't raced for 58 days and comes back on very wet ground she's never encountered before. Her form over three races shows progressive improvement (sixth, seventh, eleventh), but the long layoff and testing conditions make this a genuine gamble with a horse who's never shown anything to suggest she can win.
Never raced on very wet ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This trainer's horses usually finish their races. That is a sign of good fitness and preparation.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Darlene has never raced on ground this wet and comes here after two consecutive sixth-place finishes — a pattern that suggests she's struggling at this level rather than improving. She's lightly raced with just two outings, so there's room for development, but the evidence so far points to a horse still well short of being competitive.
Never raced on very wet ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
£1 wins £6.50 · 10 Could surprise
The trainer has a good record of getting horses to finish races
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The trainer has a good record of getting horses to finish races. That is a plus.
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Silk Twist is the lowest-rated horse in the field and has four races without a top-3 finish, though recent runs show him closing into the frame — an eighth and seventh in his last two outings suggest some direction of travel. He's still making progress on soft ground he's never experienced, but weight and rating work against him here.
Lowest rated, 8lbs below average
Never raced on very wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Gabby Hayes has one top-3 finish from five races and carries the highest weight in the field at 135lbs — a significant burden that works against him here. His most recent run was a 13th-place defeat at Dundalk just 11 days ago, and he's never tackled ground this wet, making this a tough ask.
Never raced on very wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This trainer's horses usually finish their races. That is a sign of good fitness and preparation.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Knockraha Pa has a missing entry for his most recent run at Navan, leaving a gap in his form picture that makes assessment difficult. What we know is three races without a top-3 finish, including finishes of 10th and 14th before the unknown result — hardly the profile of a horse ready to break through on challenging conditions.
Never raced on very wet ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Don't Go Mad arrives with a haunting form line: three races, three finishes outside the top 10, with losses of 19+ lengths in two of them. The standout marker claiming three top-3 finishes is demonstrably wrong — this horse has never finished in the top 3 — making the data unreliable and this an extremely difficult prospect on very wet ground that he's never encountered.
Never raced on very wet ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Estado De La Luna carries the lightest weight in the field and has shown a touch of promise with a fourth-place finish at Killarney, but that was her best effort in three races and came 22 days ago. She's never raced on very wet ground and has no strong evidence she can handle this step up in difficulty.
Carries lowest weight in field
Never raced on very wet ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Why this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Margot Mae is the most experienced runner here with six races and a single top-3 finish, suggesting she's finding her level as a solid midfield performer rather than a winner-in-waiting. She ran just a day ago for fourth place at Leopardstown and has never encountered ground this wet, but her consistency at least marks her out as more reliable than most of this field.
Never raced on very wet ground
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.