UK time :

Galway

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Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle
Starts in
14h 17min
Jumps race · low hurdles About 2 miles Slightly soft ground 12 runners £12,000 prize money
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Its average finish over the last three runs is 2.3. That is steady. Horses that finish near the front often do so again.
  • Rated 114 by the official rater. That is a strong number based on past results.
  • R. O'Sullivan wins only 10.8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Three straight top-3 finishes suggest this horse has found a rhythm, but the win remains elusive after four races—all finishes, no victories. Never run on soft ground before, so this wet surface at Galway is uncharted territory, which adds genuine uncertainty to his prospects here.
Never raced on soft ground 3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 202 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • G. Cromwell has won 10.1% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
Only one race in the book and it ended in fifth place, 22 lengths behind. Data this thin tells you almost nothing about his ceiling—he could be anything—but the Cromwell yard has 94 winners this season, suggesting he's part of a stable in strong form.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Back after 202 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Finishing 0th last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • Today's ground is Yielding, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
  • E. & Patrick Harty wins 7.2% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Two races, zero wins, zero top-3 finishes, with a fifth-place result most recently. Never raced on soft ground before, and with such limited experience on his record, this wet Galway surface is another unknown variable for a horse still hunting his first meaningful result.
Never raced on soft ground Lightly raced (2 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 352 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • G. Cromwell wins 10.1% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • 12 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Returning from a 352-day absence—the longest layoff in the field—after finishing fourth in his most recent start over a year ago. Trained by Cromwell, whose yard is firing, but the question mark over how a horse settles back in after this length of time away is a real one.
Lightly raced (2 career races) Absent 352 days (longest in field)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • P. J. Rothwell wins 5.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • Today's ground is Yielding, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
  • Mr R. Sugrue has a 3% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
TrackLab Insight
Making her racecourse debut at age five is notably late—most horses start as two or three-year-olds—suggesting either careful preparation or time to mature. No form to assess, so this is a complete unknown, though the trainer-jockey combination has won just once from four races together.
Racecourse debut
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Came home 3rd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • A 13.2% overall win rate for H. de Bromhead. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • H. de Bromhead wins only 11.2% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Finished third on debut just 30 days ago at Listowel, a promising start from Henry de Bromhead's yard, which has sent out 110 winners this season. Never raced on soft ground before, so the step up in conditions and depth of field here represents a genuine test of whether that debut form was real.
Never raced on soft ground Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 226 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has not raced for 226 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
  • An average finish of 2.7 over the last three races. Finishing near the front this often is a good sign.
  • S. Curling has a 4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in the field with three straight top-3 finishes (third, second, third), all at Limerick, though the most recent came over 200 days ago. Never raced on soft ground before, and the long layoff between her third-place finish and this race raises questions about whether that consistency will transfer to Galway's different demands.
Never raced on soft ground Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • The Yielding ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
  • Finished 3rd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
  • N. Thomas Slevin has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in the field with a win on her record (50% win rate from two races), breaking through at Sligo nine weeks ago and following up with a third-place finish most recently. Never raced on soft ground before, which is a notable gap in her experience as she faces a tougher, deeper field here.
Never raced on soft ground Lightly raced (2 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Today's ground is Yielding, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
  • A weight of 166 lbs is manageable. A lighter load helps in the closing stages.
  • A 3.1% record at this course for R. Hackett. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Five races, zero wins, zero top-3 finishes, and the form line reads badly: a pulled-up run, a twelfth-place finish 75 lengths back, and most recently a fourth. Never raced on soft ground, and recent efforts suggest he's struggling to find his level in this grade.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
First run (debut) Wearing hood
Why this score
  • The Yielding ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
  • A weight of 165 lbs is manageable. A lighter load helps in the closing stages.
  • P. Donovan wins 4.8% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Stepping into a racecourse for the first time—a genuine unknown with no prior form to assess. A four-year-old debut at this stage is unusual, and soft ground at Galway will be his first experience of racing conditions that may or may not suit.
Racecourse debut
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Wearing hood Back after 254 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has been off the track for 254 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
  • A weight of 159 lbs is manageable. A lighter load helps in the closing stages.
  • R. Tyner has a 5.1% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Two races, two failures (a pulled-up run and a failed to complete), with a 254-day absence from racing that is the longest break for any runner in this field. Never raced on soft ground, and with zero finished in the top 3 finishes across her record, the evidence so far offers very little reason for confidence.
Never raced on soft ground Lightly raced (2 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • This horse is happy on Yielding ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
  • Carrying 165 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
  • A. D. Leahy has a 0% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Two races, two non-finished in the top 3 finishes (sixth and fifth), with the most recent result coming just a week ago. Never raced on soft ground before, and with the jockey and trainer partnering for the first time, there are multiple new variables here for a horse still searching for any top-3 finish.
Never raced on soft ground Lightly raced (2 career races)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.