UK time :

Galway

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SANSERV Rated Novice Steeplechase
Starts in
13h 4min
Jumps race · big fences About 2.2 miles Slightly soft ground 7 runners £12,000 prize money
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 177 days off Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 5 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • R. O'Sullivan wins 7.7% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Coral River has won 2 of 16 races and finished in the top three in more than half his outings—a genuinely consistent performer. However, he has never won on wet ground (0 from 11 starts on soft, yielding or heavy), which is a serious concern at Galway on soft turf, and he's also yet to win at this course in six attempts.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 178 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • G. Cromwell wins only 6.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Four races, no wins, but three top-3 finishes including three consecutive seconds—this horse is running well without the reward. His trainer Gavin Cromwell has an excellent record overall, but Begorra Man still lacks a breakthrough victory from limited experience.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • A low win rate on this ground from 7 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • Only 11th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced runner here with 28 races, but he has won only once in nearly four years and is rated below the field average. He does have a winning record on soft-to-heavy ground (1 from 4), which offers a slim angle on today's conditions.
Most experienced (28 runs, field avg 12)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 175 days off Won 0 of last 5 Likes this ground (wins 25% of runs)
Why this score
  • This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
  • A 7-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • E. McNamara wins only 5.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
County Final is the only runner with a winning record on soft ground (1 from 4), making him notably suited to today's conditions. His sole career win came recently at Navan after two near-misses, though his form since has dipped with an 8th and a pulled-up.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 177 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • 177 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
TrackLab Insight
Just returned from Galway 18 days ago where he ran second, so he knows this track and has current form. However, he's won only once in 15 races and has never won on soft or yielding ground—his sole win came on heavy ground over two years ago.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 191 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • A 7-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • A 13.2% overall win rate for H. de Bromhead. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • M. O'Connor wins 6.5% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
King's Bucks has never raced on soft ground, making today an uncharted test for him despite four top-3 finishes from six starts. Trained by the powerful Henry de Bromhead yard, but the lack of soft-ground experience is a genuine unknown here.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 326 days off Won 2 of last 5
Why this score
  • 7 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Has been off the track for 326 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
TrackLab Insight
On Your Way has the best win rate in the field at 15% (2 from 13) and has won 50% of his races on heavy ground—textbook soft-ground form. However, he is returning from a 117-day absence after his last race at Clonmel, which is the longest absence in the field and presents a significant question mark.
Absent 326 days (longest in field) Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.