+A 29.7% overall win rate for Mr P. W. Mullins. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
+A 25.8% win rate at this course for Mr P. W. Mullins. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
−This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
TrackLab Insight
First time at the track, so zero form and everything to prove. The Make Believe and Pivotal cross offers middle-distance bloodlines, but that's the limit of what we can judge.
+G. Elliott has won 15.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
+A 15.2% overall win rate for G. Elliott. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
−Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
Two races, one top-3 finish, but a long gap since his last outing six months ago and a poor second run raise questions. Gordon Elliott's record is strong on paper, but Todo Bien has never raced on soft ground and seems to be regressing.
Never raced on soft groundLightly raced (2 career races)
+J. Conheady has a good 33.3% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
+A 50% win rate at this course for Mr J. Conheady. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
−J. Conheady wins 4.3% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
One race, a ninth-place finish beaten 34.8L — a poor debut that suggests he's nowhere near competitive yet. His trainer has shown some form this season, but this horse has never raced on soft ground and has plenty of work to do.
Never raced on soft groundLightly raced (1 career races)
+Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
+A 40% win rate at this course for Mr D. Allen. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
−T. O'Brien has an 8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
One race under his belt with a fifth-place finish tells us almost nothing — most debut runners need time to settle. The O'Brien yard has a decent record with this jockey, but Ballyadam Star is still largely a mystery.
+Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
+G. Cromwell has won 10.1% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
−A 6.7% record at this course for G. Cromwell. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
One outing six months ago produced a second-place finish — a promising start, but a long lay-off raises questions about sharpness. Trained by Gavin Cromwell, whose record with this jockey is strong, but Marble Hill has just one race to his name.
Lightly raced (1 career races)Absent 189 days (longest in field)
+Carrying 164 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
+Today's ground is Yielding, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
−P. Mulligan wins 2.8% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Racecourse debut with no form to assess means you're backing bloodlines and trainer reputation alone. The Jet Away pedigree carries jumping credentials, but Paul Mulligan's yard has yet to win with this jockey combination.
+Finished 2nd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
+Carrying 164 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
−E. Christopher McCarthy has a 4.9% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Two races, two top-3 finishes but no wins — he's showing promise but has never seen soft ground. The 0.5L defeat last time means he's not far away, though the slight drop from 2nd to 3rd raises a small question mark.
Never raced on soft groundLightly raced (2 career races)
+The Yielding ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
+The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
−M. Michael McNiff has a 1.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Racecourse debut by Maxios out of a Kris Kin mare — a pedigree worth noting, but there's no form to go on. Starting out on soft ground is not ideal for a horse with no experience.
+Set to carry 164 lbs. In racing every pound counts, and this horse is not carrying too much.
+This horse is happy on Yielding ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
−P. John Gilligan has a 5.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Racecourse debut by Kap Rock, which is a step into the unknown. Paul John Gilligan's yard has no wins from 26 races with this jockey, so expectations should be modest.
+This horse is happy on Yielding ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
+Carrying 164 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
−A 2.6% career win rate for I. Madden. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Three races without a place finish — the most recent effort a 14th at Roscommon shows a horse struggling badly. He's never raced on soft ground and the downward trajectory (7th, 11th, 14th) suggests he's heading in the wrong direction.
Never raced on soft groundLightly raced (3 career races)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shotScores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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