Fairyhouse
·
Handicap Hurdle
Starts in
1h 36min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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£1 wins £5 · 14 Solid chance
Today's race is over 3m. That distance looks right for this horse
14
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's race is over 3m. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- With £7,200 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
- A 7.5% record at this course for D. Harry Kelly. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Won at Ballinrobe only six weeks ago, showing she can win, but she's inconsistent and most recently finished fourth at Clonmel. At 9% win rate from 11 races, she's competitive on her day but the form pattern is erratic and she cannot win on normal ground.
2nd in the market (11/2)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 7 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- 3m is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- O. McKiernan wins 7.4% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Has the best record at this distance (2 wins from 4 races) and performs well on softer ground, but is coming off a 39-day absence and cannot win on normal or good ground — exactly what this race offers. At 7 years old with only two wins from 24 races, recent form has been inconsistent at best.
Best record at this trip (2 from 4)
£1 wins £6.50 · 11 Could surprise
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- 3m is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- A 12-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 4lbs over the field, but form tells a troubling story: winless for a year and beaten 33 lengths just 36 days ago. The mare has won only once from 11 races and has never won on normal ground conditions, making this a tough ask despite the weight advantage.
Top rated by 4lbs
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 14 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Miss J. Townend has won 19.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- This is a 12-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Won at Galway just eight days ago and is the market favourite at 9/2, but don't be fooled by recency — she's a one-track specialist who has won just twice from 26 races overall and cannot win on anything other than yielding ground. Fairyhouse on normal conditions plays directly against her strengths, and she's never won here in five attempts.
Market favourite (9/2)
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 10 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- As a gelding, this horse has a small disadvantage in races like this, going by past results. It is a small factor, but worth knowing.
TrackLab Insight
Finished second at Fairyhouse just 29 days ago, beaten by only 0.5 lengths, showing he can run well on this track — but converting near-misses into wins has eluded him, with only one victory from 19 races. Cannot win on normal, soft or good-to-yielding ground, which covers most conditions.
Among the more experienced (19 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 3m is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 6 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Mrs D. Foster wins only 7.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in the field, having landed a victory at Fairyhouse just 29 days ago, and boasts the best record on good-to-yielding ground (2 wins from 4 starts). At 12 years old, the 12-year-old is still competitive, though recent form outside that win has been poor and he struggles on softer ground.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 3m is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- J. Gainford wins 9.5% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- A 5.8% record at this course for E. D. Delany. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Broke through at Bellewstown in July and has the best record on normal ground in this field (1 win from 3 starts), but that win came at a different track and the most recent outing was a heavy defeat 21 days ago. With only one career win from 15 races, improvement would be needed to trouble the placings.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
10
A Year Older
£1 wins £9 · 7 Could surprise
Today's race is over 3m. That distance looks right for this horse
7
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's race is over 3m. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- Has won 1 time at this course from 2 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
- The fences are a worry. A horse that jumps badly wastes energy and can fall behind.
TrackLab Insight
Carries the strongest career win rate in the field at 1 win from every 6 races (15%), and won at Fairyhouse earlier this year — but he's been absent for 143 days (longest in the field) and pulled up at his last outing in June. Coming back from such a long break with that recent failure is a significant concern.
Absent 143 days (longest in field)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 3m is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 10 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- A 3.8% record at this course for J. Andrew Fahey. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 19 career races and carries the lowest weight because she's rated 15lbs below field average — she simply doesn't belong at this level. Recent form shows consistent mid-field finishes but no sign of a breakthrough.
Lowest rated, 15lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 3m race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- There is £7,200 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- A 7.4% record at this course for P. Nolan. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
One win from nine races tells you this is still a developing horse, but the 5-year-old has shown ability on good ground (25% win rate there) and is relatively inexperienced in a competitive field. Recent form is poor with two heavy defeats in her last three outings, suggesting she may need more time to mature.
Relatively inexperienced (9 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 3m race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- A low win rate on this ground from 7 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- R. Berry wins 2% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 18 career races with only four top-3 finishes — this is a horse that keeps trying but cannot break through. The 4-year-old is tackling a new trainer-jockey combination for the first time, adding uncertainty to an already difficult record.
Winless from 18 career races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 3m race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- A 12-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Extremely inexperienced with just five career races and zero finishes in the top-3 finishes, having pulled up just 33 days ago. This is raw material at best, competing in a handicap field against horses with vastly more proven experience.
Relatively inexperienced (5 career races)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.