Fairyhouse
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Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div II)
Starts in
1h 38min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 5 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Rated 97 by the official rater. That is a strong number based on past results.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Goin' has been competitive enough to pick up four top-3 finishes from 18 races, yet remains winless—a pattern of near-misses that stretches back through recent form without resolution. Sixth at Sligo 11 days ago represents a step back from two earlier third-place runs, suggesting form is fragile rather than building toward a breakthrough.
2nd in the market (11/2)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 7 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- 2m 4f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- E. F Power has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Tudorista has finished second or third twice across 11 races without ever breaking the tape, and two of her last three runs ended in the frame—a sign she's competitive but cannot convert. The narrowest defeats (second by 0.3 lengths, third by 8.8 lengths in her last two races) suggest she's close to winning, though that pattern has held for 11 races and counting.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has an official rating of 100. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
- Carrying 168 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Diamond Tipp showed real promise with a second-place finish nine days ago at Wexford and holds the best record on good ground in this field—winning once from 13 starts on this surface. However, her win rate of just 5% across 20 races and recent form that includes four finishes outside the top three over six outings suggest she lacks the consistency to convert chances into victories, despite being the editorial selection.
Best record on this ground (1 from 13)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- A 9.5% overall win rate for S. Ewing. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 5/1 has yet to register a win from seven races and pulled up twice in recent months, most recently finishing third at Punchestown 21 days ago. At five years old with just one top-3 finish from seven outings, King Of The Greys remains a work in progress—his price reflects hope rather than evidence of breakthrough form.
Market favourite (5/1)
6
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. J. Rothwell wins 3.3% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- Today's race is over 2m 4f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
To The Wire has been away from racing for roughly ten months and holds a blank record across five career races—zero wins, zero top-3 finishes. His last outing came 535 days ago at Wexford, making this a return from a considerable absence with no evidence of ability at this level to rely upon.
Mid-range in the market (22/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 6.8% win rate at this course for B. Hayes. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- A 2m 4f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Wolfhill boasts the best win rate in the field at 1 in 5 races, but hasn't stepped foot on a racetrack in nearly two years and has never raced on normal ground. His sole career win came at Tramore 885 days ago; the prolonged absence and complete lack of experience on today's surface make him a significant unknown quantity despite respectable historical form.
Never raced on normal ground
Absent 885 days (longest in field)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's race is over 2m 4f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- Has had 26 days off since its last race. That is a routine gap that should not help or hurt.
- 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Dusky Night has never raced on normal ground and showed promise with a narrow second-place finish at Tramore 26 days ago, but followed that with an eighth-place run—the form is inconsistent across just three career races. At five years old with zero wins from three outings, she remains very much a novice and the lack of experience on today's conditions is a significant concern.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 2m 4f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- J. Gainford wins 9.5% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Shanroe Nelson has never raced on normal ground and holds a blank record across nine races with just one top-3 finish, pulled up twice recently, and hasn't finished a race in over six months. Rated as underrated by our model, though his age (seven), lack of experience on today's conditions, and stubborn inability to win suggest heavy odds of 18/1 may fairly reflect a horse struggling to find his level.
Never raced on normal ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Rated 96 by the official rater. That is a strong number based on past results.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Fox Walk is rated highly by the editorial team but carries one major red flag: he raced just yesterday, finishing fifth at a distance, and has no experience on this ground. Three career races with one top-3 finish and recent form showing a slide from third to fifth to twelfth suggests he's struggling for consistency rather than peaking right now.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Today's race is over 2m 4f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Le Roi Arthur has managed just one top-3 finish from six career races and his recent form reads 10-11-12, a pattern of heavy defeats that offers no encouragement. The 33/1 odds reflect a horse without obvious credentials, though Edward Buckley's team has kept him active—suggesting they believe recovery is possible rather than current evidence supporting it.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 9 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- A 2m 4f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Synchronize is the most experienced runner in the field with 22 career races but has never won and finished in the top three just three times—roughly once every seven races. Recent form shows 8th, 18th, and 9th place finishes; at five years old with this track record, he looks spent rather than improving.
Most experienced (22 runs, field avg 7)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 2m 4f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Angelsworknovrtime has raced only once—finishing twelfth at Punchestown 21 days ago—and was 30 lengths adrift of the winner. At ten years old with no top-3 finish from a single outing, this late arrival to racing shows no evidence of competitive ability and is a complete mystery in a race of this calibre.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Came home 0th last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- Today's race is over 2m 4f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- D. O'Connor has a 4.1% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
TrackLab Insight
Five career races have yielded zero wins despite two finished in the top 3 finishes, suggesting he lacks the edge to trouble this field after such a long absence.
Never raced on normal ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Ballinaboola Jet won once from 13 races—his sole success came at Clonmel four months ago—and has struggled on good ground with zero wins from four starts on this surface. An 11th-place finish 309 days ago is his only recent form marker, making this a comeback attempt from a nine-year-old whose best days appear behind him.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- A 2m 4f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Miss Bella Vista is the lowest-rated runner in the field by a significant margin, carries the lightest weight, and has never raced on normal ground. From five career races she has zero wins and zero top-3 finishes; her recent form shows no signs of improvement and she's been off the track for 88 days.
Lowest rated, 16lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Never raced on normal ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- A 2m 4f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Thepoetslodge is the youngest runner at four years old with just one top-3 finish from four races, and his last two outings have been heavy defeats (14th and 12th place). Recent form trending downward suggests he is struggling to adapt to hurdle racing rather than approaching maturity.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.