Her recent form tells an interesting story. After a couple of modest efforts — finishing sixth and seventh — she bounced back with a solid fourth, then went missing in one run before returning with a fourth and a third in her last two. That third-place finish is her best recent result, and coming just one day ago, she arrives here in the middle of an active campaign. The question is whether consistency is finally starting to build, or whether she will continue to tease without delivering.
She is trained by Paul Nolan, whose yard in Enniscorthy, Co. Wexford has had a productive season — 25 winners sent out, which speaks to a stable in decent form. That is an encouraging environment for a horse like Felicity Smoak, because horses from busy, winning yards tend to be well-placed and well-prepared. If Nolan believes there is a win in her, it is worth paying attention.
The honest summary is that Felicity Smoak has never won a race, and 16 attempts is a fair sample size. But she is young, she is racing regularly, and her trainer clearly has confidence in her — you do not keep running a horse this often without believing something is there. Whether that belief is rewarded remains the most interesting open question around her.
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk Galloping |
4 | 4 other | 26 Sep | 0% |
| Limerick Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 27 Dec | 0% |
| Navan Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 7 Jun | 0% |
| Cork Galloping |
2 | 1 third, 1 other | 10 Jul | 0% |
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
1 | 1 second | 6 Jun | 0% |
| Killarney Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 18 Jul | 0% |
| Ballinrobe Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 11 Aug | 0% |
| Punchestown Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 13 Nov | 0% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 15 May | 0% |
| Wexford Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 8 Aug | 0% |
| Thurles Undulating |
1 | 1 other | 8 Oct | 0% |
| Tipperary Galloping |
1 | 1 second | 3 Jul | 0% |