:

Doncaster

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Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes
Starts in
6h 37min
Speed race · horses carry weights to make it fair About 1.5 miles Mostly firm ground Entry-level race 6 runners £4397 prize E/W: 2 places, 1/4 odds
Turf track
TrackLab's Top Pick
31
Strong chance
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
20+ Strong pick 12-19 Solid chance 6-11 In the mix Below 6 Outsider How scores work
L. Edmunds · H. Charlton · 3yo · 9st 0lb · OR 66
Headgear Form
31
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The editorial selection and lowest-rated horse in the field by five pounds, Boilermaker carries the lightest weight today — a genuine advantage in a race like this. What makes this horse interesting is the clear improvement in recent form: after three poor efforts to start the season, the last three runs have read 4th, 2nd, 3rd, suggesting a horse that is knocking on the door and improving race by race.
Lowest rated, 5lbs below average Carries lowest weight in field
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G. Downing · E. Walker · 3yo · 9st 5lb · OR 71
Form
28
Won 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 2.48 and the best win rate in the field at one in five, Willow Wood arrives on the back of a win 44 days ago — the only horse in this field to have won most recently. The big unknown is that she has never raced on dry ground before, which makes her odds-on-ish price a touch risky given that open question.
Never raced on dry ground Best career win rate in field (1 in 5) Market favourite (2.48)
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S. Bowen · O. Sangster · 3yo · 9st 5lb · OR 71
Form
20
Good Value
Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Zero wins from six races, but Rossa Raheen was beaten just a length and a half at Newbury only 16 days ago — the freshest legs in this field and a horse that arguably ran better than its record suggests. That near-miss at Newbury gives this horse a live chance at a realistic price of 5.4, and this is the most recently race-fit runner here.
Mid-range in the market (5.4)
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S. Cronin(5) · R. Hannon · 3yo · 9st 9lb · OR 75
Form
12
Won 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The highest-rated horse in the field by four pounds, Royal Poetry has finished in the top two in four of six career races — a level of consistency that stands out in this company. That said, a shocking drift in the market from a very short price to 17/1 is a major red flag and hard to ignore. If the market knows something, this chance may be shorter on paper than it looks in practice.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
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S. Donohoe · C. Fellowes · 3yo · 9st 7lb · OR 73
Form
9.6
Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Winless in six career races, and here's the key issue: Tai Hang Pegasus has never raced on dry ground before, making today a step into the unknown. Recent form shows a sixth at Lingfield followed by two poor efforts abroad at Meydan, so there's little momentum to build on heading into this.
Never raced on dry ground
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S. James · E. Dunlop · 3yo · 9st 5lb · OR 71
Headgear Form
1.6
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the field with just four career races, and none of those have produced a win or even a placing — every finish has been well down the field. Today's jockey is riding this horse for the very first time, which adds another layer of uncertainty, and it's hard to make a case for That Darn Cantor on current evidence.
Relatively inexperienced (4 career races)
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