C. Whiteley(5)
·
D. O'Meara
· 3yo
· 9st 11lb
· OR 68
HeadgearForm
22
Good Value
Wearing visorWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and easy to see why — he won here at Doncaster just 15 days ago and was second here the time before that, giving him more recent course form than anyone else in the field. His record on dry ground reads one win from three, the best in the field, and three consecutive top-four finishes at this very track make him the most obvious danger to the selection.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)Market favourite (3.5)
Won at this course & distanceWearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Won here 2 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The editorial selection, and the one stat that stands out for him is that he has won over this exact course and distance — making him the only horse in the field who can say that. However, his last three runs make for uncomfortable reading: beaten 15 lengths at Newmarket most recently, and he has not won on standard ground in nine attempts, which is worth weighing carefully against the course form.
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Sits at the top of the ratings alongside Wyle Cop, which makes the drift from a very short opening price to 5.5 hard to ignore. Won last time out at Southwell but has never won on dry ground in seven attempts, and today's fast conditions are exactly what she has repeatedly failed to handle.
Wearing hoodFresh (70 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
By far the most experienced horse in the field with 53 races, but also the lowest rated — nine pounds below the field average — and has not won on dry ground in any of his 21 attempts on anything other than slow or muddy conditions. Hasn't raced in 70 days and goes into today without a win at Nottingham or Southwell despite repeated attempts, making this a very tough ask at 19.0.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldMost experienced (53 runs, field avg 25)
Wearing blinkersQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The outsider of the field at 7.0, and with just one win from 12 races his record does not shout confidence. That said, he is fresh off a third-place finish 32 days ago and runs in blinkers, and this jockey-trainer pairing is new — neither a red flag nor a green light, just an unknown.
Quietly the most consistent horse in the field on paper — three straight top-three finishes and the best career win rate here, winning roughly 1 in every 7 races. The concern is that all three of those recent placed efforts have ended in second or third without converting, and she has never won on dry ground in three attempts, which today's conditions do not help.
Best record at this trip (4 from 21)3 straight top-3 finishesBest career win rate in field (1 in 7)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.