Curragh
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Velo Coffee At The Curragh Maiden
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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£1 wins £1 · 27 Strong chance
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
27
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds Evens
£1 wins £1 · 27 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- A 10.1% overall win rate for G. Cromwell. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- 20 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite (15/8) with just two races: 3rd at Curragh 12 days ago and 8th at Galway before that. One top-3 finish is a modest record for the shortest price, and this wet-ground test is new territory — the market may be pricing in the yard's strength (Gavin Cromwell, 63 wins from 626) rather than this horse's evidence.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Market favourite (15/8)
£1 wins £2.25 · 24 Strong chance
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
24
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- E. McNamara has won 6.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- E. McNamara wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
One win from ten races but recent form is thin: 6th at Curragh just 17 days ago, 4th before that. Never won on good-to-yielding ground and has no evidence he can handle the wet conditions here.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Finishing 2nd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- This is a 20-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Second-rated in the field (OR 75) but carries a glaring liability: winless on soft ground (0 from 4 starts) in a race run on mud. Recent form shows a 2nd at Killarney, but the ground concern is material here.
2nd highest rated (OR 75)
11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Mrs J. Harrington wins 10.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 5.3% overall win rate for N. Crosse. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- N. Crosse wins 5.3% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Two races, one place (2nd at Roscommon), but never won and never run on wet ground. Trained by a powerful yard (J. Harrington, 19 wins from 213 with the jockey), but the horse hasn't yet delivered and this is a step up in class.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- This horse is happy on Yielding ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- A 0% record at this course for D. Harry Kelly. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Just broke a 23-month winning drought with success at Killarney, but this wet-ground assignment is unmapped territory — he's won on good ground (1 in 5) but never tested on mud. The mid-draw and his poor record on right-handed galloping tracks (0 from 5) make this a tough puzzle.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's ground is Yielding, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- With a 9.8% win rate overall, B. Coen is one of the more dependable riders.
- Mrs D. Foster wins only 3.8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Made a racecourse debut 14 days ago and finished 5th at Leopardstown — a reasonable start but one race is too thin a sample. Never run on wet ground and this step up in difficulty comes without form.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- An 8.1% overall win rate for G. Ryan. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- A 2.5% record at this course for D. Dias. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Seven-year-old with one career win, finally broke through at Sligo in June but has found little since — 3rd and 4th in his last two runs. Never won on yielding or good-to-yielding ground, and today's wet conditions are a blank slate.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Has had 27 days off since its last race. That is a routine gap that should not help or hurt.
- A 0% record at this course for S. G. Carey. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
One win from nine races and raced just 27 days ago with a 2nd-place finish — she's active and in form. However, she's winless on good ground (0 from 3) and the wet conditions here are unexplored; she'll need luck against the course bias against mid-draw runners (9-16).
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Heffernan wins 8.6% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- This horse is happy on Yielding ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- 20 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Three races, zero wins, and brutally beaten in each outing — most recently 7th at Clonmel, tanked by 45 lengths. Never run on wet ground and lacks the form to suggest today will be different.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £501.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- This is a 20-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 20 pounds (OR 95) with an excellent 50% win rate on good ground, but that advantage evaporates on wet turf — 0 wins from 11 starts on yielding or good-to-yielding ground. After 476 days away, his return from a lengthy absence compounds the doubt.
Top rated by 20lbs
Absent 476 days (longest in field)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. McAteer wins 8.0% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- A 2.4% record at this course for P. T Foley. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Three-year-old with just one race under his belt — pulled up at Curragh 17 days ago. Low draw (1) offers some course advantage, but a single unfinished outing and zero wet-ground experience leave plenty of unknowns.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has run 4 times at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- The Yielding ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- 20 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Most experienced in the field at 25 races but that experience has brought zero wins — only four top-3 finishes to show for it. Never tested on wet ground and recent form at Curragh (8th, 28 days ago) suggests she's finding this level tough.
Never raced on wet ground
Most experienced (25 runs, field avg 6)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. Roche wins 6.7% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- This horse is happy on Yielding ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- 20 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Three-year-old with four races and no wins, most recently 8th at Roscommon two weeks ago. Never run on wet ground, high draw (20) works against him, and recent form (8-8-14-10) shows no momentum.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- G. Keane wins 5.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Today's ground is Yielding, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- 20 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Two races, zero wins, zero top-3 finishes — 9th and 11th respectively, including a 9th just nine days ago beaten 29 lengths. Never run on wet ground and the recent form trajectory offers no encouragement.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has been off the track for 381 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
- Has been off the track for 381 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
- Only 15th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
TrackLab Insight
Two races from 381 days ago (nearly a year out) and just returned after a 164-day absence — the timescale raises questions about race fitness. Never won, finished 15th and 13th in those distant outings, and wet ground is a complete unknown.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £501.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With a 7.8% win rate overall, J. M. Sheridan is one of the more dependable riders.
- This horse is happy on Yielding ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- Ms M. Mullins has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Four races, zero wins, zero top-3 finishes — most recently 6th at Galway and 8th at Punchestown (6 and 19 days ago). Never run on wet ground and the spread of finishes (8th, 5th, 6th, 8th) suggests she lacks the consistency needed.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The Yielding ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- A 4.3% overall win rate for R. Colgan. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- R. Colgan wins only 4.4% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Two races from 153 days ago with no wins or top-3 finishes (4th and 12th) — a long gap followed by a return 153 days back raises fitness questions. Never tested on wet ground and the recent form is weak.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- J. Ryan wins 6.0% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- A. Oliver wins only 4.5% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Three races, no wins, no top-3 finishes — 11th, 13th, 13th in recent outings. Never run on wet ground and the low draw (2) offers only marginal course help against consistent mid-field finishes.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced here 2 times without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- K. P Egan has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Three races, zero wins, zero top-3 finishes — and the margins have been savage (17th, 14th, 22nd). Never tested on wet ground and high draw (17) doesn't help against the course bias favouring low numbers.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £501.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- The Yielding ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- A 0% record at this course for M. J. Byrne. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Just one race — a 7th at Killarney 27 days ago, beaten 53 lengths. Single-race sample is too limited to form a real view; wet ground is untested and the early signals are not encouraging.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.