Bellewstown
·
John Purfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div II)
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 7/2
£1 wins £3.50 · 20 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An average finish of 2.7 over the last three races. Finishing near the front this often is a good sign.
- J. C McConnell has won 7.0% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 17-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- Being a mare is a plus here. Past results show this type of horse tends to do well in this kind of race.
- 17 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- A 17-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Finished 0th in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- A 17-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
7
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- An official rating of 83 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
- T. Coyle has a 4.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- 12 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
- L. Doyle wins only 6.4% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Wins 67% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- D. Gerard Hogan has won 7.1% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- 17 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Has an official rating of 80. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
- A. Balfe has a 4.1% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- P. Enright wins 6.1% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- 17 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 25% win rate on this ground from 4 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- A 17-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
4
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- 17 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- J. Williamson wins 33.3% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- Ms H. P Markham has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- A 17-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Has had 13 days off since its last race. That is a routine gap that should not help or hurt.
- 17 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 5 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Has raced here 1 time without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- C. Lamon has a 0% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
17
Sonna Lady
£1 wins £28 · 1 Long shot
J. Joseph Hanlon has won 5.6% of their races in their career
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Joseph Hanlon has won 5.6% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.