Bellewstown
·
WTW Willis (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
£1 wins £1.38 · 40 Very strong chance
Miss J. Townend wins 26.7% of their races at this course
40
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 11/8
£1 wins £1.38 · 40 Very strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.38 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Miss J. Townend wins 26.7% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- A 20.8% win rate at this course for W. P. Mullins. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Finishing 2nd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- A 7% record at this course for J. C McConnell. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Carrying 168 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
- S. G. Carey wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. Nolan has won 9.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Set to carry 168 lbs. In racing every pound counts, and this horse is not carrying too much.
- A 5.6% record at this course for P. Nolan. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse is happy on Good To Yielding ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- A prize fund of £6,601 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- A 4.1% record at this course for P. Fahey. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Miss T. Quail has a good 33.3% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- A 2.3% career win rate for Miss E. McCutcheon. That is below the top trainers.
13
Melody D'Arc
£1 wins £25 · 2 Long shot
J. C McConnell has won 7.0% of their races in their career
2
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. C McConnell has won 7.0% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A. Clarke wins 20% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- A 7% record at this course for J. C McConnell. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The Good To Yielding ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- Set to carry 168 lbs. In racing every pound counts, and this horse is not carrying too much.
- R. P. Rath has a 3.4% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- The trend in recent results is up. Each run has been better than the one before, which is encouraging.
- A 4.1% career win rate for N. Dooly. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 5.3% overall win rate for P. J. Rothwell. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- This horse is happy on Good To Yielding ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- Miss P. Elvin wins 4.8% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Thomas Doyle wins 25% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- Set to carry 168 lbs. In racing every pound counts, and this horse is not carrying too much.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The trainer's record at this course is a plus. Knowing a track helps with getting the horse ready.
- Carrying 165 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
- E. Larkin has a 4.5% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Today's ground is Good To Yielding, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- Ms N. M. Bradley has a 0% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The Good To Yielding ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- Set to carry 161 lbs. In racing every pound counts, and this horse is not carrying too much.
- C. Monaghan has a 3.2% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.