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Helm Rock

Helm Rock is a horse that thrives on the sort of conditions most racing folk complain about — the wet, muddy ground that sends horses slipping and sliding. At eight years old, he has won 8 of his 56 races (a 14% win rate), but those numbers flatten what is actually a more interesting story. On slow, heavy ground, he wins roughly 1 in every 4 or 5 races — a genuine spike in form that suggests he genuinely loves the mud. His co-trainer Claire Kubler, who runs the yard with her husband Daniel at Lambourn, is frank about it: he's a true mud horse, a type that gets sharper and more confident when the going gets genuinely testing. This year, finding those conditions has been a puzzle. Helm Rock has won only once in his last six races, and he hasn't won since early April — five months without a success.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Pivotal
Mother
Nibbling
Owner
Capture The Moment Vii
Rating
83

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
56
Career races
8
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
39.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Yet there is encouragement in how the yard views him. Daniel Kubler explains that the horse has been genuinely unlucky with his race draws, often getting posted far out on the side, but there is a silver lining: his handicap mark keeps dropping as a result, which means eventually he will outclass whatever field he faces. The horse was the most expensive yearling the yard has ever purchased, and that investment seemed to take a while to pay off. But then something shifted. In April he won at Kempton on the all-weather, and the trainer was honest about why: "We only ran because the race looked winnable." He has also shown a particular knack for Haydock Park, winning 2 of his 5 races there. Ridden most often by Richard Kingscote, Helm Rock is not a flashy or consistent performer — he competes at the top level (Class 2 races) and wins just 1 in 15 of those. But in the right conditions, with ground soft underfoot and a race he can reach, he remains genuinely dangerous.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 3 wins from 13 starts (23%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
1M1F – 1M2F
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
19 Aug
3rd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · 9 runners
10 Jul
4th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
2 Jul
7th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 10 runners
16 May
6th
Newmarket
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners
9 May
2nd
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 13 runners
14 Apr
3rd
Lingfield Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 12 runners
6 Apr
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 10 runners
24 Mar
2nd
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 8 runners
4 Mar
6th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow
28 Feb
DNF
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 17 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
13.3%
Win rate
2/15
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
2/6
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Ben Curtis
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kempton Park
Galloping
12 2 wins, 1 second, 2 thirds, 7 other 19 Aug 16.7%
Haydock Park
Galloping
5 2 wins, 3 other 21 Jun 40%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 24 Mar 25%
chelmsford 4 1 second, 2 thirds, 1 other 1 Jun 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
4 4 other 16 May 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
4 1 second, 3 other 15 Jun 0%
Southwell
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 28 Feb 33.3%
Newcastle
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 27 Jun 33.3%
Ascot
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 10 Jul 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
3 1 third, 2 other 14 Apr 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 2 other 29 Mar 0%
York
Galloping
2 2 other 7 Oct 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 win 1 Aug 100%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 second 9 May 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Jul 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 third 1 Apr 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Jun 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 second 4 Oct 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 other 28 Jun 0%