This season tells a slightly more complicated story, though. He has ridden 595 times and won 47 races — that works out to roughly 1 in every 13, or an 8% win rate. Last year he was winning closer to 1 in every 8. The volume is still impressive; not many jockeys get close to 600 rides in a season. But the conversion rate has dropped, and the difference between winning 8% of your races and 12% of them, across nearly 600 rides, is a substantial number of near-misses.
There are pockets where things click particularly well. On normal ground conditions, Kingscote wins at 14% — 12 winners from 84 races, more than double his overall season rate. And at Brighton specifically, he has won 4 times from just 6 rides there, which is a remarkable record at a notoriously tricky, oval track that catches out plenty of experienced riders.
His most productive training partnership is with Daniel and Claire Kubler, where he has won 7 races from 51 rides together — roughly 1 in every 7, or 14%. That is almost twice his season average, and reflects a real working relationship built up over time. His link-up with Incredible Moment is, for now, a story without a win — three races together, no victories — though that partnership is presumably still a work in progress.
The headline is really this: 24 wins in the biggest races the sport offers, at the sport's grandest venues, with three of those arriving in the last three months. The numbers across the season as a whole are a little down, but Kingscote has a habit of showing up when the occasion is largest. That tends to be what people remember.
| Course | Races | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| sha_tin | 210 | 2 | 1.0% |
| happy_valley | 95 | 6 | 6.3% |
| Windsor | 32 | 3 | 9.4% |
| Chester | 31 | 3 | 9.7% |
| Lingfield Park | 26 | 4 | 15.4% |
| Newmarket | 25 | 2 | 8% |
| Wolverhampton | 21 | 2 | 9.5% |
| Kempton Park | 20 | 2 | 10% |
| Goodwood | 16 | 2 | 12.5% |
| Haydock Park | 14 | 0 | 0% |
| Southwell | 13 | 3 | 23.1% |
| chelmsford | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| Ascot | 9 | 1 | 11.1% |
| Chepstow | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| Great Yarmouth | 8 | 1 | 12.5% |
| Nottingham | 8 | 0 | 0% |
| Bath | 7 | 0 | 0% |
| Brighton | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| Epsom Downs | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Salisbury | 5 | 3 | 60% |
| Ffos Las | 5 | 0 | 0% |
| York | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Doncaster | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Newbury | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Leicester | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Pontefract | 3 | 2 | 66.7% |
| Newcastle | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| The Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% |