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Fortunate Lighting

Fortunate Lightning is an eight-year-old who has carved out a modest but honest career, picking up 2 wins and 2 places from 15 races — that works out to winning roughly 1 in every 7 or 8 outings. Those numbers won't set the world alight, but they tell the story of a horse who turns up, competes, and occasionally delivers.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Soldier Of Fortune
Mother
Sandymount Lady
Owner
Philip McGee
Official rating
111

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
15
Career races
2
Wins
13.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
13.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
133 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The most recent win came at Sligo in August 2025, almost exactly two years after the first one at Galway in August 2023. There's something quietly telling about that — both wins came in summer, both at smaller Irish tracks, and the gap between them suggests this isn't a horse who wins in bunches. When the stars align, though, Fortunate Lightning gets the job done.

Recent form is harder to love. The last six runs read 11-8-5-11-6-1, meaning apart from that Sligo win, the horse has largely been finishing in the bottom half of the field. Eleventh place twice in the last six outings is the kind of form that raises questions, and the single sixth and eighth suggest most days are about taking part rather than competing for the win. Still, the horse raced just yesterday, which at least confirms it remains active and in the yard's plans.

Thomas Coyle trains out of Batterstown in Co Meath, and it's been a quiet season — just 2 winners sent out so far. That context matters: this isn't a powerhouse operation producing winners week in, week out, so each success carries a bit more weight. Fortunate Lightning's win at Sligo would have been a meaningful moment for the yard. Philip Byrnes has been in the saddle most often, partnering the horse five times without a win together — not an unusual situation at this level, but it does mean Byrnes has yet to find that winning connection with this particular horse.

At eight years old and with 15 races behind it, Fortunate Lightning is an experienced campaigner who knows the job. The win rate of 13% — 2 from 15 — is modest, and the recent runs suggest it's in a lean spell. But horses like this have a habit of popping up on the right day, at the right track, at a price that makes everyone smile.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
7 Jun
11th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 17 runners
9 May
8th
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 12 runners
18 Apr
5th
Bellewstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 10 runners
15 Oct
11th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 13 runners
12 Sep
6th
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 10 runners
7 Aug
🏆 Won
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
13 Jul
5th
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
29 May
6th
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
4 Apr
5th
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 10 runners
24 Feb
5th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 14 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/5
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Punchestown
Galloping
3 3 other 7 Jun 0%
Galway
Tight
2 1 win, 1 other 5 Aug 50%
Sligo
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 7 Aug 50%
Wexford
Sharp
2 2 other 4 Apr 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
2 2 other 23 Apr 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 12 Sep 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 other 9 May 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
1 1 other 18 Apr 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 other 29 May 0%