Worcester

One of the more experienced horses in the field with 18 races behind her, and she arrives having won at Southwell just 37 days ago — so her form is live and recent. She's one of three horses our analysts flag as capable of troubling the top-rated Prince Imperial, though her record on soft or wet ground is worth watching depending on conditions.

The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 38 races, which is more than double the field average — but experience hasn't translated into results lately, with five consecutive finishes of fifth or worse including a pull-up nine days ago. Rated 17 points below the top horse and with zero wins on normal ground from ten attempts, the data doesn't give much encouragement here.

She has the best career win rate in the field — wins roughly 1 in every 4 races — and crucially she is the only horse here with a winning record at this exact distance of 2 miles 4 furlongs. The major worry is that she hasn't raced for 216 days, the longest absence of anyone in this field, and her last two runs before that break were a pull-up and a distant ninth.

Rated higher than every other horse in this field by a clear margin, yet the betting market has almost completely abandoned him — he's drifted to long odds despite being the top-rated runner on paper. The concern is obvious: his last three races all ended in a pull-up, including one right here at Worcester, and he's wearing a visor to help with focus. On his best day he's miles clear of these rivals, but his recent form makes it very hard to trust him.