Worcester
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Copybet Support Safer Gambling Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in the field by 3lbs and the only one who has raced here at Worcester before, finishing third just 15 days ago — so it knows the track. That said, its odds have collapsed dramatically from a short early price to nearly 4-1, which suggests punters have cooled on it sharply, and its last three runs all ended in defeats by wide margins. It has the best win rate in the race on paper, but has never won on normal ground conditions, which is a real concern today.
Top rated by 3lbs
Best career win rate in field (1 in 7)
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and deservedly so — in just two career races it has won one and finished sixth in the other, meaning that form is almost entirely unknown territory given how few data points exist. What we do know is that the trainer-jockey partnership of Dan and Harry Skelton is one of the most powerful in British racing, winning roughly 1 in 5 races they run together across over 2,500 outings. That firepower behind such a lightly raced horse makes this the one to beat.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Market favourite (2.88)
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced runner in the field alongside Snow Is In The Sky and Witheros Hill, with just three races under its belt, and has placed twice in those three outings which is a decent return for such an inexperienced horse. The concern is that it pulled up completely in its second race, and the jockey and trainer together have won just 7 from 27 races — a modest record. There is potential here, but also plenty of unknowns.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Five races in and Mr Rafiki has finished fourth every single time — not last, not placed, just perpetually fourth. It is the second-highest rated horse in the field, which suggests ability, but its record shows zero wins and zero place finishes, so that rating has not translated into results yet. Hard to fancy at 10-1 when the pattern so far is so relentlessly stuck in the same groove.
2nd highest rated (OR 105)
TrackLab Insight
A second-place finish two runs ago showed this horse can get competitive, but it followed that up with a third place beaten 22 lengths, which brings things back down to earth. Only three career races in, so there is still plenty of room for improvement, and the jockey is claiming a 5lb allowance which means it effectively carries less weight than its rivals. Still winless, but not without hope.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
TrackLab Insight
There is almost nothing to go on here — two career races with the best result being seventh, beaten over 70 lengths, and the horse has not raced for 136 days. The odds of 101-1 tell you everything about how the market views its chances in this company. Honest assessment: on current evidence, this horse looks well out of its depth.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
At 126-1 it is the longest shot in the race, and the data does not offer much encouragement — five career races without a win, and its most recent result at this very course 15 days ago is listed as unknown, which is an odd gap in the record. The jockey has never ridden for this trainer before, which is another unsettling unknown heading into the race. Hard to build a case for this one.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
By far the longest absence in the field — this horse has not raced in over two years, and its only career run ended in a 12th-place finish beaten nearly 100 lengths. Coming back from 775 days off the track is a huge ask for any horse, and there is simply no recent evidence to suggest it can compete at this level. A complete unknown, and 71-1 reflects that reality.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Absent 775 days (longest in field)
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Win (they finish 1st)
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How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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