Wincanton
·
Wincanton
Awaiting result
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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The Lightmaker
Underrated horse
£1 wins £2.50 · 29 Strong chance
D. Horsford's horses finish their races 50% of the time
29
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 5/2
£1 wins £2.50 · 29 Strong chance
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Horsford's horses finish their races 50% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- D. Horsford has a good 100% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
Hes Something
Underrated horse
£1 wins £6 · 19 Solid chance
D. Skelton's horses finish 46.8% of their races
19
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Skelton's horses finish 46.8% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- H. Skelton wins 20.8% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
Le Cold Grey
Underrated horse
£1 wins £8 · 14 Solid chance
P. Nicholls's horses finish their races 37.5% of the time
14
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. Nicholls's horses finish their races 37.5% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- H. Cobden has won 22.2% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- P. Nicholls wins only 25% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
14
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. King's horses finish their races 27.3% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Scott's horses finish their races 53.8% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- J. Scott has a good 17.7% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
7
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Williams's horses finish their races 75% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- A 26.9% overall win rate for C. Williams. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A 2.7% record at this course for B. Carver. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Hosie's horses finish their races 36.4% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
- P. Hanlon has a 4.8% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
2
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Tizzard's horses finish their races 57.1% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Has raced here 1 time without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- A 12-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Frost's horses finish 0% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- S. Bowen has won 21.1% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- J. Frost has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £501.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- H. Dickin's horses finish their races 38.5% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- Miss M. Bevan wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £501.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Frost's horses finish 0% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
- J. Frost wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Look Dont Stare
£1 wins £500 · 1 Long shot
H. Dickin's horses finish 38.5% of their races
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £501.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- H. Dickin's horses finish 38.5% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- A 2.9% record at this course for H. Dickin. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.