Wincanton
·
Wincanton
Awaiting result
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Frank Stamper
Underrated horse
£1 wins £3.50 · 26 Strong chance
W. Greatrex's horses finish their races 45.5% of the time
26
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 7/2
£1 wins £3.50 · 26 Strong chance
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- W. Greatrex's horses finish their races 45.5% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- With a 21.1% win rate overall, S. Bowen is one of the more dependable riders.
- A 12.4% career win rate for W. Greatrex. That is below the top trainers.
Ugo Bingo
Underrated horse
£1 wins £7 · 18 Solid chance
J. Tizzard's horses finish their races 58.3% of the time
18
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Tizzard's horses finish their races 58.3% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Has had 13 days off since its last race. That is a routine gap that should not help or hurt.
- 1 win from 5 runs at this track. When a horse likes a course, it often runs well there again.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- N. Scholfield's runners finish 50% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- N. Scholfield wins 28.6% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- 12 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Skelton's horses finish 52.8% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- With a 20.8% win rate overall, H. Skelton is one of the more dependable riders.
- 12 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Pipe's horses finish 16.7% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Came home 3rd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- D. Pipe wins 11.9% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
£1 wins £12 · 7 Could surprise
S. Hosie's horses finish their races 25% of the time
7
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Hosie's horses finish their races 25% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
- P. Hanlon wins 4.8% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
Western Soldier
Underrated horse
£1 wins £16 · 7 Could surprise
S. Mullins's horses finish their races 28.6% of the time
7
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Mullins's horses finish their races 28.6% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- S. Mullins has a 5.3% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Good prize money on offer. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Scott's runners finish 54.5% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Carrying 166 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
- Finished 8th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.
Dreams Ka
£1 wins £66 · 2 Long shot
D. Skelton's horses finish 52.8% of their races
2
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Skelton's horses finish 52.8% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- C. Todd wins 16.7% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- 12 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Tickle's horses finish their races 0% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- An experienced horse with 56 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- A 12-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Skelton's runners finish 52.8% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- J. Andrews wins 14.3% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- A 12-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.