Sligo

The best win rate in the field at 1 in every 3 races, but there are two big question marks hanging over this one: she has never raced on dry ground before, and she hasn't been seen on a racecourse for 290 days — the longest absence in today's field. A seriously capable horse on paper, but we genuinely don't know how she'll handle these conditions.

She finally broke her duck at Down Royal just 22 days ago after 19 career races, so there's genuine momentum here — but her record on dry ground reads zero wins from six attempts, which is a real concern today. She's also carrying the lowest official rating in the field, sitting 6lbs below the field average.

Carries the joint-lightest weight in the field, which is an advantage in a race like this, but her last two runs have been well beaten and her record on dry ground is an unknown — she has never raced in these conditions. Her best form has come on very different ground, and today's conditions look against her.

One of the most experienced horses in the field with 25 races behind her, but just one win to show for it — that's roughly 1 in every 25 outings, the joint-worst win rate here. She finished seventh at this very track 61 days ago and her record across almost every track type makes for difficult reading.

Joint top-rated alongside Kenisa Sport, but the market has completely turned its back on her at big odds — and the recent form does little to argue back, with a fall last time out and two poor efforts before that. She wins roughly 1 in every 12 races across a 25-race career, and her record on fast, dry ground is completely unknown.