Sedgefield
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The Roflow Specialist Ventilation & Dehumidification 'national Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)
Starts in
3h 42min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 5/2
£1 wins £2.50 · 24% chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- With a 19.1% win rate overall, S. Bowen is one of the more dependable riders.
- C. Collins wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
The market's choice at 11/4, but backing that up with hard evidence is tough: this five-year-old has seven races and zero wins to show for it, though three finished in the top 3 finishes suggest he knows how to be competitive. He ran last 17 days ago and finished second at Clonmel, which is recent and positive, yet that pattern of effort without reward has held firm across his entire career so far.
Market favourite (11/4)
1
Can't Resist It
£1 wins £2.75 · 23% chance
F. O'Brien wins 23.3% of their races at this course
23%
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.75 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- F. O'Brien wins 23.3% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- Has been off the track for 226 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field with 10 races under his belt, but that experience has yet to translate into a win — he's finished in the top 3 three times from ten outings, which tells you he can be competitive but something keeps derailing him at the final hurdle. The seven-year-old has been absent for 226 days, so freshness could be an issue returning after such a long lay-off, and his recent form shows a 4th-place finish at Exeter was his best effort in that period.
Most experienced (10 runs, field avg 5)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Skelton wins 18.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- Has been off the track for 232 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
TrackLab Insight
This lightly-raced five-year-old mare has only three career races but shows signs of improvement: her most recent run 232 days ago was a second-place finish, a real breakthrough after earlier struggles in her first two outings. She has never raced on normal ground before (this race is normal conditions), so how she handles these conditions is genuinely unknown, but the yard are Dan and Harry Skelton — one of the most prolific training partnerships in the sport — which suggests they see something worth developing.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Absent 232 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Has been off the track for 218 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field with a win on his record — he broke through at Leopardstown 660 days ago and has two other finished in the top 3 finishes from four total races (25% win rate), which marks him out as a genuine threat. However, he steps up three classes from that victory and his most recent effort was a well-beaten 6th at Fontwell 218 days ago, so there are real questions about whether that early promise can transfer to this level and after such a long absence.
Steps up 3 classes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Came 7th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
TrackLab Insight
This five-year-old has picked up three finished in the top 3 finishes from just five races, which is a stronger win rate than most of his rivals in the top-three-finish department, but he remains winless and has been off the track for 178 days. He has run at this track before (finished 3rd at Sedgefield 200 days ago), so there is some prior evidence he can handle Sedgefield, though the long absence and pattern of near-misses suggest he may struggle to convert.
Mid-range in the market (12/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Has had 50 days off since its last race. That is a routine gap that should not help or hurt.
TrackLab Insight
This four-year-old has raced eight times with just one finished in the top 3 finish and no wins — one of the poorest records in the field — and recent form has been a slog with only one top-three finish in his last six outings. The jockey-trainer combination has never worked together before, which adds another layer of uncertainty to a horse whose profile suggests he is struggling to find his level at this stage of his career.
Mid-range in the market (25/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
This four-year-old has zero wins and zero finished in the top 3 finishes from four races, making him the only horse in the field without a single top-three effort to his name. His most recent run 165 days ago was a well-beaten 10th at Fontwell, and the 4th-place finish at Chepstow before that (199 days ago) remains his closest approach to the placings, suggesting he is some way below the standard of several rivals here.
Outsider at 28/1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- The Good ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- A. Wilson has a 4% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Making his racecourse debut at five years old is unusual and suggests he was either a late developer or a targeted project rather than a horse rushed into competition. He is by Jack Hobbs, a sire known for stamina and honest temperament, out of an Act One mare, which points to a horse built for staying races — but a debut with zero prior form makes him an extreme unknown quantity in a field where most rivals have multiple races under their belts.
Racecourse debut