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Kinbara Firstdraft

Kinbara Firstdraft is a seven-year-old that has found genuine success in one clear corner of the racing world: Class 4 races on normal ground. In those conditions, the horse wins roughly 1 in every 3 races—two wins from six starts. That's a respectable win rate, and it tells you where the horse performs best. The trouble is, those opportunities don't come around often enough, and when the ground gets too firm or too soft, the horse struggles to reproduce that form.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Mother
Kimberely Bay
Owner
Mr A Kerr Mr L Kerr
Rating
95

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
22
Career races
2
Wins
9.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
18.2%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Across 22 career races, Kinbara Firstdraft has won twice and placed four times. That's a win rate of roughly 1 in 11 races, which is modest overall, but the Class 4 record shows this is a horse with ability when circumstances align. The last win came at Ayr on 13 November 2024—nearly two years ago. Since then, nothing. The recent form line reads 6-4-5-4-7-5 across the last six races, a mixture of minor places and one disappointing seventh. Just yesterday the horse raced again and finished sixth, which suggests the yard is still hunting for the right conditions to get the horse back in the winner's circle.

Jockey J J Slevin has had the most rides aboard Kinbara Firstdraft, nine races in total, with one win between them. That's an 11% win rate together, slightly below the horse's overall average, but the small sample size makes it hard to draw firm conclusions. For now, Kinbara Firstdraft remains a horse in search of a soft landing: a Class 4 race, normal ground, and a long enough drought that the odds might be generous. The foundation is there. The timing simply hasn't cooperated in a very long time.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 12 starts (17%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
29 Aug
6th
Cartmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
15 Aug
4th
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
12 Jul
5th
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
2 Jul
4th
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
7 Jun
7th
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 13 runners
14 May
5th
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
10 Feb
4th
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 9 runners
29 Jan
7th
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 11 runners
26 Dec
8th
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 12 runners
22 Nov
5th
Haydock Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
11.1%
Win rate
1/9
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
Mr S Connor
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Perth
Galloping
9 1 win, 1 third, 7 other 15 Aug 11.1%
Ayr
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 other 10 Feb 25%
Down Royal
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 26 Dec 0%
Navan
Galloping
2 2 other 15 Dec 0%
Cartmel
Tight
1 1 other 29 Aug 0%
Downpatrick
Undulating
1 1 other 26 Apr 0%
Kelso
Undulating
1 1 other 18 Sep 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Nov 0%