The market favourite and the highest-rated horse in the field, her third-place finish at Yarmouth last time is one of the better recent form lines on show. She has been placed once from three races and her form has been gradually tightening — third, fifth, fourth in reverse order suggests she's been getting closer rather than further away. The key unknown is whether she can take that final step from nearly winning to actually winning.
Lightly raced (3 career races)Market favourite (2.36)
The most experienced horse in the field with five races under her belt, and she has finished in the top three in three of them — more placed efforts than anyone else here. She's drawn in stall one, which at this course and distance carries a modest advantage over horses drawn high. The big question is whether she can finally convert that consistency into a first win.
The second-shortest price in the race and one of only two runners to have finished in the top three in recent races — her third at Windsor stands out in a field where almost nobody has placed. Unlike most rivals, she has already run on normal ground, removing one question mark. Trainer Clive Cox and jockey Hector Crouch win together roughly 1 in 5 races, which adds a layer of confidence here.
She is the busiest horse in this field, racing for the third time in under six weeks, and none of her three runs have come on turf — so dry ground over six furlongs here is a new experience. Finishing fourth, ninth, and fifth suggests she's not hopeless, but she has yet to even get into the places. Back out just seven days after her last run, she'll need to find a gear she hasn't shown yet.
Never raced on dry groundLightly raced (3 career races)Runs again after just 7 days
Wearing hoodFresh (286 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the field with just one career race, and she hasn't been seen on a racecourse for nearly ten months. She finished fifth on her only outing — right here at Nottingham — but that was on different ground and against unknown opposition. The long absence makes her very hard to assess with any confidence.
Never raced on dry groundLightly raced (1 career races)Absent 286 days (longest in field)
Wearing tongue strapFresh (62 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
A single race on an artificial surface at Kempton is all we have to go on, where she finished ninth. Like several others here, she has never run on dry turf, so today is a completely new test. One run tells us very little, and at 34-1 the market isn't convinced there's a surprise coming.
Never raced on dry groundLightly raced (1 career races)
A tenth-place finish last time out is the worst recent result among any runner in this field, and at 126-1 the market has made its feelings pretty clear. Two races, both on artificial tracks, have produced finishes of seventh and tenth — there is no obvious reason to think dry turf reverses that form. Needs a dramatic step forward to trouble these rivals.
Two races in and nothing to show for either — a fifth and an eighth, both on artificial surfaces. She has never raced on dry turf like this, so today is genuinely uncharted territory. Honest assessment: she needs to find significant improvement just to be competitive here.
Never raced on dry groundLightly raced (2 career races)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.