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Lingfield

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Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified Stakes
Starts in
Awaiting result
Speed race · horses carry weights to make it fair About 5 furlongs Standard all-weather surface Grassroots race 10 runners £3245 prize
Polytrack surface
TrackLab's Top Pick
31
Strong chance
Good Value at 19/10
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
20+ Strong pick 12-19 Solid chance 6-11 In the mix Below 6 Outsider How scores work
T. Kiely-Marshall(5) · O. Pears · 6yo · 10st 0lb · OR 50
Headgear Freshness
31
Good Value
Wearing cheekpieces Quick turnaround Won 1 of last 5 Has won on this ground Won at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated favourite with the best ground record in the field—4 wins from 22 starts on normal conditions (18%)—and a fresh win at Wolverhampton just 8 days ago suggests he's in form. However, his 10% career win rate over 52 races and a drift in odds from 1.1 to 2.9 hints the market may be overestimating his chances; he's a workable type but not a banker.
Best record on this ground (4 from 22) Market favourite (2.9)
M. Ghiani · J. R. Jenkins · 5yo · 9st 9lb · OR 50
C&D Freshness
31
Good Value
Won at this course & distance Quick turnaround Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Joint top-rated with Let's Go Hugo and holds the best record at this five-furlong trip (2 wins from 15 starts, 13%), but both wins came back in February 2024—30 months ago—with nothing since. Second at Wolverhampton 8 days ago shows recent form, yet the extended drought at distance raises serious questions about current ability.
Best record at this trip (2 from 15)
3 Banana
K. O'Neill · S. Dixon · 7yo · 9st 9lb · OR 49
Headgear Form
19
Good Value
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Most experienced runner in the field (61 races) but wins roughly 1 in every 30 starts—a grim win rate that defines her as a genuine grinder. Critical problem: zero wins from 40 starts on standard ground, which is the exact conditions here, making her a very poor fit for this race despite recent placing form.
Most experienced (61 runs, field avg 29)
G. Mangan · M. Attwater · 7yo · 9st 9lb · OR 43
C&D Freshness
8.0
Won at this course & distance Quick turnaround Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
One of the few horses with a course win (Lingfield, April 2023) but that remains his only victory from 54 races—a 2% win rate across three-and-a-half years. Recent form (4th at Wolverhampton 8 days ago) shows he's not without ability, but consistency is completely absent and the odds of 10.0 reflect the reality.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
D. Murphy(7) · J. Boyle · 4yo · 9st 9lb · OR 44
C&D Form
4.9
Won at this course & distance Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Has won on this ground Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Boasts the best win rate in the field (1 in 9 races) but hasn't won since June 2025—a 14-month drought that cannot be ignored. Recent form at Brighton is poor (5th, 6th, 4th), and while she has solid ground credentials on standard surfaces, the long absence from the winner's circle is a major red flag.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 9)
D. Keenan · D. Shaw · 4yo · 9st 9lb · OR 46
Headgear Form
2.2
Wearing hood Won 0 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The editorial selection sits four pounds below Let's Go Hugo but shows genuine progressive form: placed in 2 of the last 3 races (3rd and 5th within recent weeks) compared to most rivals' stagnation. One career win from 22 races, but the upward trajectory and solid ground record on good-to-firm (1 from 3) suggest the form line may still be improving.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
C. Howarth(3) · S. Dixon · 5yo · 9st 9lb · OR 41
Headgear Freshness
1.6
Wearing blinkers Fresh (445 days off) Won 0 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Returning from a 445-day absence—by far the longest layoff in the field—after last racing 296 days ago; trainer Scott Dixon's jockey combo has never won together. Only one career win (May 2024, Beverley) from 26 races, and crucially has zero wins from 12 starts on standard ground; the layoff and ground mismatch make this a high-risk prospect.
Absent 445 days (longest in field)
F. Marsh · J. & Suzi Best · 4yo · 9st 9lb · OR 46
Freshness Form
0.6
Quick turnaround Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 8 races with just one place finish, but recent form shows glimmers of progress—a 6th at Leicester 42 days ago sits between two 10th-place finishes, suggesting a capacity to stay competitive on her day. However, those latest two efforts at Windsor and Lingfield (both 10th, within 8-17 days) demonstrate significant inconsistency and no winning pedigree.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
W. Carson · M. Blake · 3yo · 9st 7lb · OR 44
Headgear Form
0.4
Wearing hood Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Youngest and lowest-weighted runner (3yo, 133lbs) but completely winless and placeless from just 4 career races, with no clear upward trajectory in recent form. Her fifth at Windsor was followed by a 10th and 8th, showing volatility rather than progress; extremely limited data and zero evidence of being ready to win at this level.
Carries lowest weight in field
K. Fox · M. Attwater · 4yo · 9st 9lb · OR 40
Freshness Form
0.1
Fresh (117 days off) Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Zero wins from 17 races with zero places outside two efforts—the starkest failure in the field. Still chasing a maiden win after 4+ years in training, she offers no positive markers, lowest rating by some margin, and has managed only a ninth-place finish in her sole Lingfield attempt; avoid.
Lowest rated, 5lbs below average
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