Won 2 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and the best win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in every 3 races is a strong return, especially for a three-year-old still relatively early in its career. He won right here at Leopardstown 42 days ago, which makes him one of the most course-relevant runners in the field, and the Colin Keane and G M Lyons combination wins nearly 1 in 5 races together. The main question is whether a fourth-place finish at the Curragh last time out signals a slight dip in form.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)Market favourite (3.5)
Won 2 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The highest-rated horse in the race on our figures at 94, and she arrives in solid recent form with three top-three finishes on the bounce. The catch is that all three of her career wins have come on artificial surfaces at Dundalk — she has never won on the normal grass track here at Leopardstown in five attempts. That zero-from-five record on right-handed, galloping tracks like this one is a real concern despite her lofty rating.
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)3 straight top-3 finishes
Our selection for the race, and it's easy to see why despite having only two career races to his name — the least experienced horse in a field that averages 20 races. He finished second on his second start, then won at the Curragh 20 days ago, and that clear upward curve from a low base is exactly what you want to see. Rated 93 on our figures, just a point behind the top-rated Aviatrice, he looks like a horse still finding out how good he is.
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in this race by a significant margin — nine pounds below the field average — and that gap is hard to overcome in a competitive race like this. She carries the lightest weight as a result, which helps, but recent form is poor: ninth at Leopardstown 35 days ago beaten nearly 25 lengths, and the run before that was a 14th. The data from her last start 20 days ago at the Curragh is missing, so there is genuine uncertainty about where she is right now.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
J. Kearney(3)
·
G. Cromwell
· 3yo
· 9st 5lb
· OR 87
HeadgearFreshness
11
Wearing hoodQuick turnaroundWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
He ran just seven days ago at Leopardstown, finishing second beaten just over a length, so he arrives here in sharp form and familiar with the track. Rated 87 on our figures — third-best in the field — he sits close enough to the principals on paper to be considered a genuine danger. The big concern is the jockey-trainer partnership, which has clicked only twice from 45 races together, and his form is inconsistent, alternating between wins and placings and poor efforts.
Back out again after racing just three days ago at Killarney, where he finished fourth beaten seven lengths — a quick turnaround that immediately raises questions. His overall record of winning roughly 1 in every 10 races is modest, and the trainer-jockey combination here has clicked only twice from 27 races together. He is also the lowest-rated runner in the field among the horses near the bottom of the weights, and there is nothing in the recent form to suggest he can turn things around this quickly.
Wearing visorQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
By far the most battle-hardened horse in this field with 59 races under his belt — nearly three times the field average. His record tells you he is a genuine course specialist, but that course is Dundalk's artificial track where he has won seven times, not Leopardstown, and he has never won on the grass surface here in 12 attempts on right-handed galloping tracks. A third-place finish just eight days ago shows he is in decent form, but the track switch is a significant hurdle.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.