Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 3.25, which means the betting public expects more than the form book has shown so far — just one win from seven races. That said, three of those races ended in fourth place by margins of two lengths or less, hinting at a horse that keeps getting close without breaking through. Trained by G M Lyons with Colin Keane aboard, a combination that wins roughly 1 in 5 races together, so there's substance behind the confidence — but this horse still has something to prove.
Wearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in this field by our numbers at 114, and the only runner with a win at Leopardstown itself — though that came nearly three years ago. Has an excellent habit of finishing close to the front, with a top-three finish in six of eight career races, but last time out at Ascot was well beaten in 15th. The odds have shortened, suggesting punters fancy a bounce-back, but recent form makes that trust a little harder to justify.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2023
"He worked very well at the Curragh the other day. He's going to go to a Derby trial and could head to France for one. 06-04-23"
Won at this course & distanceWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (29% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field who has won at this course and over this exact distance, which is a meaningful edge when rivals are being asked to prove they can handle it. Our figures rate her second behind Adelaide River, but her form has been moving in the right direction and she's our selection for this race. She was fifth at Ascot last time, but her record here at Leopardstown over a mile and a furlong gives her a specific advantage none of the others can match.
Only winner at this distanceHas won over this course and distanceBest record at this trip (1 from 3)
The best career win rate in the field at one in three, and drew the lowest numbered stall which holds a significant advantage at this course — low draws win at twice the rate of middle and high draws here. The worry is last time out at the Curragh, where the horse was beaten by more than 12 lengths just 18 days ago; a sharp form reversal is needed. Wins at both Navan and Goodwood show real quality on better days, and at 3.75 the market clearly hasn't given up on one.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2026
"He won a 7f maiden at Goodwood last year and was then fourth and fifth in a couple of races in France. We think he's much better than people think and he could improve a good bit. He's a 1m2f-1m4f horse. I'm not sure whether he'll make a Derby ahead of the others - he could end up at Royal Ascot instead. 31-03-26"
Wearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
On a run of three consecutive top-three finishes, which is the kind of momentum that matters heading into a race like this. The concern is that all three of those efforts came on quicker ground — when conditions turn wet and muddy, this horse has never won in three attempts. If the ground stays on the easier side, that's a real flag.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2025
"A Group 3 winner at Deauville last year over seven furlongs, he's going to make his reappearance in the Committed Stakes at Navan on Saturday. We're hoping he's en route to the Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot. We think six to seven furlongs is his trip and he's done very well over the winter and is training nicely. 24-04-25"
Stepping up in classWearing blinkersWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Drops significantly in class to race here, which sounds like a positive — but the ground profile is a genuine worry, with zero wins from three attempts on good or faster conditions. This horse thrives in the mud, winning two from three on heavy ground, so if the track is dry she'll need to overcome a pattern that has held her back before. The blinkers are on, which suggests the yard are asking for more, but the class drop and recent second at Navan make her interesting at 17s if the conditions swing her way.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.