The youngest horse in the field at just five years old, and crucially, the best career win rate here — winning roughly 1 in every 8 races, which is comfortably ahead of its rivals. It's also the most recently active winner in the field, landing a victory at Listowel just 48 days ago, and it shares the joint-top official rating alongside The Rebel County. The jockey-trainer partnership of Keith Donoghue and Gavin Cromwell has clicked 167 times from over 1,000 races together — the most potent combination in this field.
The standout form horse in the field — three consecutive top-three finishes, including a win at Punchestown two months ago, mark this as a horse in the best vein of form among its rivals. It wins on good ground at a rate of roughly 1 in 7, which is solid in this company. The concern is that it has never won on softer conditions, and its record on sharp right-handed tracks is a worrying 0 from 12.
M. J Dunne(7)
·
E. McNamara
· 7yo
· 11st 10lb
· OR 96
HeadgearForm
12
Good Value
Wearing blinkersWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite, and with reason — this is the freshest winner in the field, landing its first career victory at Roscommon just 39 days ago. That win breaks the seal on a 14-race career, and at seven years old there's still room to progress. The unknown is a new jockey partner today, and its record on good ground before that Roscommon win was a blank — six races, zero wins.
S. O'Callaghan(3)
·
D. O'Sullivan
· 8yo
· 10st 3lb
· OR 75
HeadgearForm
11
Good Value
Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
One of the joint-most experienced horses in the field with 39 races, matching Ferdia, and it actually has two wins to show — the best career win total in the field. Recent form is more encouraging than many rivals: a second at Limerick just 57 days ago, followed by a fifth and a fourth in the last two outings. It does, however, carry the lowest official rating among the double-winners in this field, and has never won away from good ground.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
Six years old and still without a win from 14 career races — the definition of a horse that keeps showing up without quite getting the job done. Recent form reads 5th, 6th, and 8th in its last three completed runs, which is consistently mid-pack without any sign of a breakthrough brewing. Of all the winless horses in this field, Parkgarve's recent trajectory gives the least cause for optimism.
The most experienced horse in the field by a clear margin — 39 races, which is double the field average — but that experience has produced just one win, all the way back in August 2022 at Tramore. At 10 years old and with recent runs of 6th and 9th, it's difficult to see where the turnaround comes from. Its one win came on good ground, yet its record on almost every other ground type is a complete blank.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Rated 15 pounds below the field average — the joint-lowest official rating in this race — which tells you where the assessor thinks this horse sits in the pecking order. It did land a win at Cork last August, but recent form includes a 14th at Punchestown and has never won away from good ground. The experienced jockey-trainer partnership of 7 wins from 49 races together is worth noting, but the handicap mark makes it a steep ask.
A. O'Sullivan(5)
·
G. Ahern
· 6yo
· 12st 0lb
· OR 100
HeadgearForm
8.0
Good Value
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Carries one of the highest weights in the field and sits joint-top on official ratings, but just one win from 16 races tells you this is a horse that flatters to deceive. The cheekpieces are on to sharpen things up, and it does win roughly 1 in 4 times on good-to-yielding ground — ground conditions worth watching. The market has drifted hard away from it, which is rarely an encouraging sign in a competitive field this large.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Nine years old with a win rate of 1 in every 19 races, and the last three runs are all unknown from the data — so it's hard to build a case either way. The cheekpieces and tongue strap suggest the trainer is trying to find something extra, and the horse does carry a lower weight than most of the top-rated runners. Without visible recent form to assess, this is one where you're largely taking it on trust.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Nine years old and 20 races into a career with zero wins — making this one of two horses in the field with the most races and no victories to show for it, alongside Ferdia. A second-place finish at Bellewstown 90 days ago showed a flicker of ability, but that was followed by a pull-up at Punchestown and a distant fifth at Downpatrick. The jockey and trainer combination has also never won together in 10 attempts.
Sixteen races and still searching for a first win — My Cullen has placed five times, so it isn't without ability, but it has never managed to convert. Last time out at Ballinrobe it finished 10th, beaten nearly 70 lengths, which is a concerning effort. The jockey-trainer partnership has also failed to win in 25 races together, making it hard to find an angle of optimism here.
Eight years old, 19 races, and just one win on the board — that's a win rate of roughly 1 in every 20 outings, which is thin. Pulled up last time out at Tramore 49 days ago, and hasn't been seen much since, so fitness is a genuine question mark. Its one win came on good ground, and it has never won on softer or wetter conditions, which limits its options considerably.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
One win from 13 races, and the cheekpieces and tongue strap suggest the team are trying to find something extra. A good-to-yielding record of 1 win from 4 races is the brightest number here, and conditions could suit if the ground has ease in it. However, this horse has never won on good ground and has a blank record on right-handed, undulating tracks — worth noting Killarney's particular demands.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Wearing tongue strapFresh (102 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Carries the joint-lowest weight in the field alongside The Border Boy, but that lighter burden hasn't helped so far — 20 races and zero wins, with a single place finish the only reward across an entire career. This horse has also been absent the longest in the field at 102 days, coming off a pull-up at Cork, and before that two more pull-ups in succession. The signs all point in the same direction.
Carries lowest weight in fieldAbsent 102 days (longest in field)
Our editorial selection, yet the market clearly disagrees — drifting out to 51s despite holding the third-highest rating in an 18-horse field. At 10 years old with just 2 wins from 33 races, the raw numbers are hard to love, and recent form shows a 7th and a 12th in the last two completed runs. The honest concern is that this horse is rated well above where its recent performances suggest it currently is.
One of the least experienced horses in the field with just eight races, but unlike Embrace The Day — who has also raced eight times — Watty Show has nothing to show for it: zero wins and just one place. Trained by Henry De Bromhead, a yard that operates at a much higher level than this grade, which raises the question of what has gone wrong so far. Recent runs of 7th, 14th, and an unknown result at Downpatrick offer little encouragement.
Nine races and no wins, with a last-time-out run of 13th at Limerick — beaten over 76 lengths — that is difficult to gloss over. At eight years old with a blank win record and deteriorating recent form, this is a horse that appears to be going the wrong way. The single place finish came at Tramore nearly 200 days ago, and there is little in the data to suggest a revival is coming.
R. P Geoghegan(7)
·
B. T Murphy
· 9yo
· 10st 7lb
· OR 79
HeadgearForm
0.0
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the field alongside Watty Show and Amburana at just eight career races, but unlike those two, Three Tribes has not managed a single placed finish — zero wins and zero places from every race it has entered. Pulled up last time at Limerick 57 days ago, and before that hadn't raced for over a year. The record offers nothing to work with.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.