Killarney

No racecourse form at all, but she stands out among the debutants because of who trains her — Willie Mullins is the dominant force in Irish racing and his jockey here has won roughly 1 in every 4 races they have ridden together, a strong ratio. At 3.25, the market rates her as the second most likely winner in the field despite never having raced, which tells you the betting public has a lot of respect for where she has come from. Whether that faith is justified only today will tell.

The most consistent horse with prior experience in this field — she has finished in the top two in every completed race, including a win at Roscommon just 11 days ago. She is one of only three horses here who has actually won a race before, which immediately puts her ahead of most of her rivals. The big question mark is her odds drifting sharply from 1.1 out to 4.5, suggesting something has made the market nervous since betting opened.

Just one race to her name, a third-place finish at Listowel 46 days ago — she has experience over several rivals making their debut today, but has yet to win. She is wearing a hood today, which trainers sometimes use to help a horse settle and focus, suggesting there may be a mental element her team is managing. With no win from her only run, she has plenty to prove against the two horses in this field who have already won.

Two races, no wins, no places, and she has not run for 157 days — the longest absence of any horse in this field who has prior form. Her last two finishes were a sixth and a fourth, both beaten by wide margins, and a long break before returning to a competitive field does not make her task easier. She is wearing a tongue strap today, suggesting her trainer is making physical adjustments, but there is little in her record to suggest she can trouble the front-runners.