Gowran Park
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Dine At Gowran Park Handicap
Starts in
25h 59min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Why this score
- A 12.7% overall win rate for J. S. Bolger. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- N. Crosse wins 5.3% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- N. Crosse wins 5.3% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
Why this score
- A. Oliver wins 8.5% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- This horse is happy on Yielding To Soft ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Why this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- With an average finish of 4 in recent runs, this horse keeps finishing close to the front. It would not need much luck to win.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Why this score
- A. Oliver wins 8.5% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- A. Oliver wins only 6.5% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Why this score
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- A 4.5% career win rate for J. Dalton. That is on the low side and could matter today.
Why this score
- J. P. Murtagh wins 11.0% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- J. P. Murtagh wins 17.7% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Why this score
- W. McCreery has won 9.1% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- An official rating of 65 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- P. T Foley wins only 3.5% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Why this score
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- With an 8.0% win rate overall, L. McAteer is one of the more dependable riders.
- A 0% record at this course for J. Foley. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Why this score
- T. Mullins wins 8.5% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 15.8% win rate at this course for C. Keane. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Why this score
- C. O'Brien wins 8.9% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 10.2% overall win rate for W. J. Lee. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Why this score
- An average finish of 4.3 over the last three races. Finishing near the front this often is a good sign.
- The Yielding To Soft ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- A 6.7% record at this course for M. Mulvany. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Why this score
- Today's ground is Yielding To Soft, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- An official rating of 57 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
- Came 16th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
Why this score
- There is £7,200 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- P. W Flynn has a 3.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.