Gowran Park
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Golf At Gowran Park Nursery Handicap
Starts in
25h 29min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Why this score
- G. F. Carroll has a good 8.6% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- An average finish of 8 over recent runs. Finishing in the middle or further back so often counts against the horse.
Why this score
- A 15.8% win rate at this course for C. Keane. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- T. Mullins has won 8.5% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 6.8% record at this course for T. Mullins. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Why this score
- A 50% win rate at this course for K. Smith. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- This horse is happy on Yielding To Soft ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- K. Smith wins 5.6% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
Why this score
- A 6.5% overall win rate for P. A. Fahy. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A 10.0% win rate at this course for W. J. Lee. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- P. A. Fahy wins only 4.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Why this score
- J. P. Murtagh wins 11.0% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- J. P. Murtagh has a good 17.7% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- This is a 12-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Why this score
- Has run 1 time at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- Has an official rating of 53. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
- J. Ryan has a 6% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Why this score
- Finishing 2nd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- Today's ground is Yielding To Soft, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- A 0% record at this course for M. M. Rice. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Why this score
- A 5.3% overall win rate for N. Crosse. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- The Yielding To Soft ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- N. Crosse has a 5.3% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Why this score
- A 4.7% win rate at this course for R. P. Cleary. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- The Yielding To Soft ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- R. P. Cleary wins 4.8% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
Why this score
- Has raced here 1 time without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- This horse is happy on Yielding To Soft ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- Came 11th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
Why this score
- With £6,000 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
- This horse is happy on Yielding To Soft ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- A 2.8% career win rate for P. F. McEnery. That is below the top trainers.
Why this score
- The Yielding To Soft ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- A prize fund of £6,000 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- A 6.7% record at this course for M. Mulvany. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.