Gowran Park
·
Ladies Day July 25th Handicap
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
18+ | Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org Ad: we earn commission if you join a bookmaker via our links.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 9/4
£1 wins £2.25 · 28 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 13.4% overall win rate for D. Browne McMonagle. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- Not enough recent runners for P. W Flynn to judge their current form.
- P. W Flynn wins only 4% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 4.9, and racing again just five days after finishing third at Leopardstown — so the team clearly think the horse is in good form right now. The catch is that 23 races have passed without a single win, and slightly soft ground is completely new ground for this horse. The ability is there, but converting it into a first victory has been the story of this horse's career.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Runs again after just 5 days
Market favourite (4.9)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- Handles this ground well, with 33% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- P. G. Fahey wins only 6.9% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
This horse carries the best record on today's ground conditions in the entire field — winning 1 from 3 races on good-to-yielding, and also showing a strong record over this 2-mile trip with a 33% win rate at that distance. The most recent run was a well-beaten ninth at Punchestown, but the win and second place before that are worth noting. The ground profile here is arguably the most relevant edge in the field.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
12
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- An experienced horse with 54 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- A 2.7% record at this course for P. J. F. Murphy. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 54 races compared to a field average of 21 — and won just 17 days ago at Sligo, so confidence is high. That said, the official rating of 60 is 11 points above the field average, meaning the handicapper has taken notice. The real concern is the ground: this horse has never won on wet or soft ground across 14 attempts, and today's conditions are exactly that.
Best record at this trip (2 from 12)
Most experienced (54 runs, field avg 21)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Rated 8.8 points above the average for this race. On paper, this horse is one of the better runners.
- This is a 15-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Second-highest rated horse in the field at OR 58, which sounds promising until you learn this horse has never won in 11 races. Three placed finishes show there's some ability, but a 17th-place finish at Navan just 25 days ago — beaten nearly 10 lengths — doesn't inspire confidence going into a competitive 15-runner field.
2nd highest rated (OR 58)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 6 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- With 52 races behind it, this horse knows what to expect. Experienced runners tend to cope better with pressure.
- A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict picks this horse out as nicely treated compared to its all-weather rating, and it also boasts the best career win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in every 10 races across 52 outings. At 2 miles, this horse has a strong record at this distance, but there's a significant red flag: it has never won on soft or wet ground across 12 attempts, and today's conditions fall firmly into that category.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 10)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The Good To Yielding ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- With £5,900 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
- 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Five races in and still to finish in the top three — the best result so far is eighth, and the sequence from those five outings reads 9-8-14-10-12. Like several others in this field, slightly soft ground is uncharted territory. There is nothing in the data to suggest a breakthrough is coming here.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £20.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Handles this ground well, with 25% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- With 49 races behind it, this horse knows what to expect. Experienced runners tend to cope better with pressure.
- A 3.8% record at this course for M. Hassett. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Four wins and 15 placed finishes from 50 races give this horse one of the more solid career records in the field, but the ground data is a serious issue: this horse has never won on yielding, soft, or soft-to-heavy ground across 22 combined attempts. Today's slightly soft conditions sit firmly in that danger zone. Having also never won at Gowran Park in nine tries here, the track and ground combination both work against this one.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
£1 wins £21 · 2 Long shot
The Good To Yielding ground works in this horse's favour
2
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £22.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The Good To Yielding ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- The official rating is 6.8 points higher than the average for this race. The official rater sees this horse as one of the better runners today.
- M. J Smith wins only 3.6% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Six races, no wins, no placed finishes, and a best result of fifth that is surrounded by a string of double-figure finishes. The horse has never raced on slightly soft ground, so today's conditions are an unknown quantity. Hard to make a case for this one based on what we have.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 8.5% overall win rate for L. McAteer. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- This horse is happy on Good To Yielding ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Twelve races, no wins, no placed finishes — a blank record that is hard to argue with. Today's slightly soft ground is entirely new territory for this horse, which adds uncertainty on top of an already difficult profile. The last two runs produced finishes of 12th and 14th, beaten by huge margins.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With a 7.1% win rate overall, J. M. Sheridan is one of the more dependable riders.
- A 27.8% win rate at this course for J. M. Sheridan. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- This is a 15-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Only four career races, all finishing deep in the pack — eighth, eighth, eleventh, seventeenth — and hasn't raced in over seven months. Today's slightly soft ground is also new territory, and this horse is paired with a jockey it has never worked with before. Everything here points to a difficult afternoon.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
£1 wins £50 · 1 Long shot
The Good To Yielding ground works in this horse's favour
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The Good To Yielding ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- A 4.2% overall win rate for R. Colgan. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- Miss J. Anne Lynch has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
This horse hasn't raced in 491 days — by far the longest absence in the field — which alone makes it an enormous ask in a competitive 15-runner field. One placed finish from 16 career races tells you the ability has rarely shown itself, and slightly soft ground is uncharted territory. Hard to see a way in here.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Finished 0th in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- Recent results are getting better. The horse is finishing higher up. A horse that is improving often keeps improving.
- Ms M. Flynn wins 2.6% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
A ten-year-old with two wins from 42 races, and nothing to show for it in the winner's enclosure since late 2022 — that's over two and a half years without a win. Among the more experienced horses in the field, but the recent form — beaten 30 lengths at Tramore and 62 lengths at Downpatrick — makes for grim reading. The official rating of 42 is seven points below the field average.
Among the more experienced (42 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- An official rating of 40 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
- S. Wallace wins 3.9% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the field, which is a theoretical advantage in a handicap, but the form doesn't offer much encouragement — 10th last time out at Cork, beaten over 31 lengths. No wins from 16 races, and the jockey-trainer partnership hasn't managed a win together from nine attempts. The low weight alone isn't enough to overcome a deeply unconvincing recent record.
Carries lowest weight in field
£1 wins £33 · 0 Long shot
Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form
0
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Nine races in with three placed finishes but no wins, and slightly soft ground is entirely new territory for this horse. The last completed result at Gowran Park — this very course — was a ninth, beaten over 17 lengths. There's some promise buried in the record, but today's conditions and track aren't obviously set up for a first win.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
The longest absence in the field by a wide margin — this horse hasn't raced in 732 days, which is nearly two full years. With no wins and no placed finishes from 10 career races, and rated 9 points below the field average, there is very little in the data to encourage interest. A return from such a long break in a 15-runner field is a huge ask.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below average
Absent 732 days (longest in field)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.