Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The most reliable horse by win rate—1 win in every 6 races across 34 outings—and significantly better on good-to-firm ground where it wins 2 in 5 starts. However, Lusaka hasn't raced in 49 days and has been struggling for consistency lately, most recently third at Newbury but fourth in the two races before that.
The market favourite despite being a three-year-old with zero wins from five races, but the form is genuinely improving—three consecutive seventh-place finishes followed by a fifth and then a third just 19 days ago, beaten only a fifth of a length. The problem is this horse has never raced on normal ground before, making today a complete unknown.
Never raced on normal groundMarket favourite (3.35)
Wearing blinkersWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick shares the joint-highest rating and has three consecutive top-three finishes, most notably a second-place finish at this track just 58 days ago over the same distance. This horse wins roughly 1 in every 7 races and has an excellent record on standard ground (67% when placed), though there's a question mark over its ability on the good surface forecast today.
Best record at this trip (2 from 9)3 straight top-3 finishes
Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in the field, having landed a victory at Ffos Las just 58 days ago, and Golden Flame has now strung together three straight top-three finishes. An eight-year-old with just one win from 29 races, but this horse genuinely suits the conditions today (good ground, two miles) where it wins 1 in 5 attempts.
R. Kavanagh(3)
·
I. Williams
· 6yo
· 9st 6lb
· OR 55
C&DHeadgear
9.6
Won at this course & distanceWearing visorWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The key fact is that Simiyann has won over this course and distance—a genuine threat the editorial verdict acknowledges—and arrives with three straight top-three finishes at Nottingham. However, it wins only 1 in 10 races overall and has never won on standard-to-slow ground, which is a concern given today's conditions.
Has won over this course and distance3 straight top-3 finishes
A four-year-old with eight races under its belt and just one placed finish to show for it—a second place three outings ago. The form is patchy and recent efforts at Yarmouth and Cork show this horse struggling to get competitive, making it a tough case in a race where consistency matters.
Wearing cheekpiecesQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Loves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
A five-year-old that found its feet late, recording its first victory just last summer, and has won 6 from 43 races overall—roughly 1 in 7. The standout fact is its recent form: only nine days off a second place at Chepstow where it was beaten 24 lengths, suggesting it may not have recovered fully from that exertion.
Lightly raced at just three career outings with zero placings, rated 13 pounds below the field average, and has finished eighth and ninth in its last two races. This is clearly a young horse still finding its feet rather than a winning chance, though it does carry the lowest weight in the field at 114 pounds.
Lowest rated, 13lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldLightly raced (3 career races)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.