Chelmsford
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Chelmsford (AW)
Awaiting result
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Antiquity
Underrated horse
£1 wins £2.50 · 32 Strong chance
J. Osborne's runners finish 50% of their races
32
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 5/2
£1 wins £2.50 · 32 Strong chance
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Osborne's runners finish 50% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- J. Osborne has a 10.1% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
H Key Lails
Underrated horse
£1 wins £3.33 · 27 Strong chance
M. Attwater's horses finish their races 46.7% of the time
27
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. Attwater's horses finish their races 46.7% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- A 7-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- M. Attwater wins only 6.6% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. Carroll's runners finish 50.9% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- W. Carson has a 4.8% win rate at this course. They have not had much luck here. Knowing the track helps, and that is missing.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. Keady's horses finish 33.3% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- 7 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- A 6.3% record at this course for D. Keenan. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. R. Jenkins's horses finish 10% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- J. R. Jenkins wins 5.3% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Hosie's horses finish their races 33.3% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- A 7-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- A 3.3% record at this course for G. Downing. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. Pattinson's horses finish 100% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- T. Greatrex wins 33.3% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- A 4.7% career win rate for M. Pattinson. That is below the top trainers.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.