Currently the market favourite despite drifting sharply from an opening price of 1.1, which suggests early confidence has cooled significantly. He arrives in good recent form — third and second in his last two runs — but carries the top weight alongside Made All and has won just once in 23 races across his career. The concern is that he holds the highest official rating in the field yet has never once found a winner's enclosure on any ground type tested.
Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The standout angle here is simple: Alvesta is the only horse in this field who has actually won at Cartmel, doing so just 52 days ago, and she ran here again 22 days back and finished third. No other runner can claim that course form, which counts for a lot at a quirky track like this. She's also well suited to distances over two miles, and at odds of 4.1 she represents a compelling case built on facts rather than hope.
One of the more experienced horses in the field with four career wins from 40 races, and he ran just three days ago at Catterick — unusually quick turnaround that's worth noting. His best results have come on faster ground, and this normal-ground Cartmel surface doesn't obviously suit based on his record of zero wins from 13 races on good ground. Sits joint-top weight with Mr Lincoln, making his task no easier.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2025
"He's another legend who loves his work; the more you give him the better. His winning form coincided with fitting a tongue-strap, but also figuring out you have to ride him cold. When he's been ridden a bit closer to the pace, he doesn't necessarily finish. He's risen 20lb in the handicap this year but was unlucky three runs ago at Catterick, where he bumped into an improving three-year-old. 29-10-25"
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
At seven years old with 50 career races under his belt, Animato is the most experienced runner in the field by some distance, but his recent form is poor — third, fifth, and sixth in his last three, with the defeats measured in double figures. He has won on faster ground before but has never won on standard ground in seven attempts, which is a concern here. At odds of 11.0, there's little obvious case to make for him reversing that trend today.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
The most notable thing here is that this horse runs again just three days after finishing eighth, beaten over 26 lengths at Uttoxeter — an unusually short gap between races that raises questions about why. She has no wins from eight career races and her recent form reads 8-6-3, with the placed run coming 112 days ago. Without a win to her name and with the form lines pointing in the wrong direction, she looks to be among the outsiders in this field.
Seven years old and still winless from 16 career races, King Kodiak is one of two horses in this field yet to win. His form is erratic — he finished second at Perth just 41 days ago, beaten by just over a length, then came back three weeks later to finish seventh, beaten 27 lengths. That wild inconsistency makes him hard to trust, and he carries the fifth-lowest weight in the field.
Wearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Ribble River has the best career win rate in this field — winning roughly one in every six races, compared to most rivals who win far less frequently. He has also run at Cartmel before and has a solid record on softer ground types, though his last three finishes of sixth, fifth, and fifth, beaten by huge margins, suggest he's not in the best form right now. The ability is there on paper, but he needs to find much better to justify a bet at 14.5.
Best record on this ground (2 from 9)Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
The lowest-rated horse in the field by some margin — 14 points below the field average — and after 38 races he has never won, making him one of two winless runners here alongside King Kodiak. He carries the lightest weight in the race, which is the one small advantage, and he has finished in the top five in each of his last six runs including two at Cartmel. Consistent in a finishing-fourth kind of way, but at 31.0 the math doesn't encourage optimism.
Lowest rated, 13lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.