Brighton
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Ian Carnaby Handicap Stakes
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
Blue Anthem has the best win rate in the field at 16% (3 wins from 19 races) and is a genuine specialist on fast, dry ground with 2 wins from just 3 attempts—a 67% win rate on that surface that stands out dramatically. He has been off the track for 55 days and faces his first pairing with jockey Billy Loughnane, but the ground conditions suit him perfectly and his class is genuine at this level.
Best record on this ground (2 from 3)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
TrackLab Insight
Von Krolock has won just once in his last 6 runs but arrives here fresh off a victory at Lingfield just 6 days ago—a rare quick turnaround that suggests genuine fitness. The problem is stark: he has never won on fast ground (0 from 12), and Brighton today is dry and firm, a surface that has stopped him completely in every previous attempt. His win rate drops to 10% overall, making him a risky favourite despite the recent success.
Runs again after just 6 days
Market favourite (3.85)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Rye is the only horse in this field with a completely blank record—0 wins from 18 races—yet she has been placed nine times, finishing second or in the frame in half her outings. She has been off the track for 80 days, which is a significant absence, and there is no evidence she can break through to win on any surface, let alone fast, dry ground.
Winless from 18 career races
TrackLab Insight
Dark Sun is the editorial choice and sits highly rated despite a dismal 4% win rate (just 1 from 23 races), making her unfancied in the market at 17.5. Her one victory came on good ground two months ago, but she has zero wins from 9 attempts on good-to-firm conditions like today, and recent form shows four 4th-place finishes in six runs—potential without delivery.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
TrackLab Insight
Be An Angel has 2 wins from 22 races (9% win rate) and is one of the few horses with a decent record on good-to-firm ground—2 wins from 9 attempts (22%)—making her suited to today's conditions. She was placed on 9 occasions overall and finished just 0.3 lengths second at Chepstow 39 days ago, showing she is competitive, but recent form is patchy with two 6th-place finishes in her last three runs.
Mid-range in the market (9.5)
Trainer Quotes
Aug 2025
"You could say she's been a victim of the Great British Bonus scheme, but it's a nice problem to have. To explain, if it's a filly and is British bred, you get a £20,000 bonus for winning a two-year-old fillies' race. So whereas normally you'd give an ordinary horse three runs and go down the handicap route once they'd got the experience, it's such a big bonus that you're getting your fillies really fit for their first three runs, and they've only got to get placed a few times to end up with an inflated handicap mark. I've noticed a lot of fillies are higher up the handicap nowadays than they would have been before the bonus system, and this filly is a prime example. She has been placed several times in bonus races behind good horses and that meant she was a bit high when she started handicapping. But we eventually got our £20,000 bonus, so I'm not complaining too much. 27-08-25"
TrackLab Insight
The Organiser is the only course winner here, having won over Brighton's 6-furlong course, and he was third at Brighton just 19 days ago—the most recent form over this exact track in the field. His 9% win rate (3 from 32 races) is modest, but he has won twice at Class 5 level (33% win rate there), suggesting he belongs at this tier and knows this track well.
Has won over this course and distance
TrackLab Insight
Unico carries the lowest weight in the field at 130lbs and has an 11% win rate (3 from 27 races) with a win on good-to-firm ground to her credit, giving her some edge on today's surface. However, she has been off for 76 days and her last three races show 9th, 8th, and 8th finishes—poor recent form that raises questions about fitness and readiness for a competitive handicap.
Carries lowest weight in field
TrackLab Insight
Nordic Glory boasts the most racing experience in the field with 67 races and a respectable 15% win rate—roughly 1 win every 7 runs—plus he has won 5 times over this 6-furlong trip, better than any other runner here. However, he has just one win from 14 attempts on good-to-firm ground, exactly what he faces today, making him dangerous only if the ground favours firm-ground specialists elsewhere in the field.
Best record at this trip (5 from 37)
Most experienced (67 runs, field avg 32)
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