Beverley
·
Racing Again Next Tuesday Handicap Stakes
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 11/4
£1 wins £2.75 · 24 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.75 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- J. Mason wins 10.4% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- Has won 1 time at this course from 4 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
TrackLab Insight
The standout on ratings here, sitting 4lbs clear of anything else in this field, and he's backed that up with back-to-back wins at Pontefract over the last six weeks. He also has course and distance experience at Beverley, making him the most qualified horse on paper. The big caveat is a huge drift in the market — he's gone from near-certainty odds to 3.8, which is unusual and worth noting.
Top rated by 4lbs
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (3 from 18)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a 5-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- A 15.8% win rate at this course for R. & Peter Fahey. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in this field — winning roughly 1 in 4 races — and he's currently on a hot streak of three straight top-three finishes including two wins. He's the market favourite despite being rated 4lbs below Shimmering Sands, which reflects that his recent form looks stronger than his official rating suggests. The jockey pairing with this trainer has produced just 1 win from 27 races together, which is the one question mark.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Market favourite (3.75)
£1 wins £6.50 · 23 Strong chance
Very little experience on today's ground
23
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- C. Fallon has a 20% win rate at this course. They have not had much luck here. Knowing the track helps, and that is missing.
TrackLab Insight
She's never actually won a race across six attempts, but she has finished in the top three four times, so she's clearly competitive — just not a winner yet. The concern here is that she's stepping up two class levels compared to her recent races, which makes life considerably harder. She finished third at this exact course just 16 days ago, so she handles Beverley, but she faces a stiffer test today.
Steps up 2 classes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- A 9.4% overall win rate for T. Easterby. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- This horse is not suited by Good To Firm ground. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 45 races compared to a field average of 20 — and crucially he's a proven course specialist here at Beverley with two wins from five races, including a win just six days ago. The problem is he's rated 11lbs below the field average, making him the lowest-rated runner, and his record on anything other than fast, dry ground is poor. Today's dry conditions at least play to his strengths.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below average
Course specialist (2 wins from 5 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Most experienced (45 runs, field avg 20)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- There is £4,527 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- An 8% record at this course for G. Tutty. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
She carries the lightest weight in the field, which is an advantage in a race like this, but she brings a significant unknown: she has never raced on dry ground before, so how she handles today's conditions is genuinely unclear. Five races in, she's yet to win and has no experience at this course, making her harder to assess than her rivals. She's an honest competitor who places fairly regularly, but this looks a tough race to break her duck in.
Carries lowest weight in field
Never raced on dry ground