Beverley

The best career win rate in this field — winning roughly 1 in 4 races — and he's currently on a hot streak of three straight top-three finishes including two wins. He's the market favourite despite being rated 4lbs below Shimmering Sands, which reflects that his recent form looks stronger than his official rating suggests. The jockey pairing with this trainer has produced just 1 win from 27 races together, which is the one question mark.

She's never actually won a race across six attempts, but she has finished in the top three four times, so she's clearly competitive — just not a winner yet. The concern here is that she's stepping up two class levels compared to her recent races, which makes life considerably harder. She finished third at this exact course just 16 days ago, so she handles Beverley, but she faces a stiffer test today.

The most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 45 races compared to a field average of 20 — and crucially he's a proven course specialist here at Beverley with two wins from five races, including a win just six days ago. The problem is he's rated 11lbs below the field average, making him the lowest-rated runner, and his record on anything other than fast, dry ground is poor. Today's dry conditions at least play to his strengths.

She carries the lightest weight in the field, which is an advantage in a race like this, but she brings a significant unknown: she has never raced on dry ground before, so how she handles today's conditions is genuinely unclear. Five races in, she's yet to win and has no experience at this course, making her harder to assess than her rivals. She's an honest competitor who places fairly regularly, but this looks a tough race to break her duck in.