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Lessay

Lessay is a five-year-old with the profile of a genuine place-horse — someone who shows up, runs honestly, and rarely embarrasses himself, but doesn't quite have the finishing kick to win often. From 47 races, he has won just 4 times and placed 14 times, which works out to a win rate of roughly 1 in every 11 races.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Churchill
Mother
For Now
Owner
Morris And Allan
Official rating
61

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
47
Career races
4
Wins
8.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
29.8%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
23 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Patrick Morris's yard at Prescott has clearly found Lessay's sweet spot. The horse was a late starter, not breaking his maiden until December 2023 at Kempton Park, but once he found a rhythm he has stayed sound and competitive. His most recent win came at Wolverhampton on 28 June, three months ago, and he raced just yesterday, which speaks to his durability. With David Nolan as his regular rider, however, things have not clicked — they have run together five times without a win — so there may be room for improvement with the right partnership.

The numbers reveal what makes Lessay tick. He absolutely thrives on soft, wet ground, winning 2 of 9 races in those conditions (22%), nearly double his overall win rate. Over his preferred distance of seven furlongs to a mile, he has won 4 of 30 races (13%), suggesting he is neither a sprinter nor a stayer but a miler at heart. He has also developed a rapport with Kempton Park, winning 2 of 9 races there, though he does not dominate the course. In Class 4 races, where he typically competes, he has won just once in 19 attempts (5%), which underlines that he is a hard-earned winning opportunity in small fields rather than a banker. Lessay is a horse for patience and wet-weather racing — not glamorous, but honest.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 2 wins from 9 starts (22%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 13% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Newcastle in 11 attempts
⚠ Yet to win at Southwell in 6 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Loves
5F – 6½F
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
25 Sep
8th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 11 runners
2 Sep
4th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
28 Jun
🏆 Won
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
1 Jun
DNF
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
8 May
2nd
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 11 runners
6 Apr
7th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 8 runners
21 Mar
11th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners
6 Mar
5th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard
15 Feb
4th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners
5 Feb
7th
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/5
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/5
Wins / rides
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
Ryan Kavanagh
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Alex Jary
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Cian Horgan Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
11 1 second, 10 other 25 Sep 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
10 2 wins, 1 second, 2 thirds, 5 other 28 Jun 20%
Kempton Park
Galloping
9 2 wins, 3 seconds, 4 other 15 Sep 22.2%
Southwell
Galloping
6 6 other 5 Feb 0%
chelmsford 3 1 third, 2 other 11 Sep 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
2 2 other 26 Jul 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Sep 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 third 29 Aug 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 4 May 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Aug 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 7 Mar 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 22 May 0%