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Cerulean Bay

Seven wins from 29 races, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 4, and a tendency to make things interesting — Cerulean Bay is the kind of horse that keeps a yard busy and an owner hopeful. Trained by David O'Meara out of Upper Helmsley in North Yorkshire, the five-year-old has earned its place at a serious level, competing mainly in Class 2 races — the kind that sit just below the very top tier in Britain. That is a tough neighbourhood to live in, and Cerulean Bay has won 3 of its 13 races at that level, which is no small achievement.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
New Bay
Mother
Kathy Sun
Owner
Nick Cable
Rating
105

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
29
Career races
7
Wins
24.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
44.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The horse's best moments have come at Goodwood, a track famous for its unusual sweeping bends, and it seems almost tailor-made for them. Back-to-back wins there in late September and early October 2025 — both Class 2 races — showed a horse in the form of its life. Jockey Daniel Tudhope, who knows this horse better than anyone with 3 wins from 8 rides together (winning almost 2 in every 5 times they team up), described it simply as a lovely horse with the right attitude: when something comes to challenge it, it keeps finding more. The win at Thirsk in August 2024 was arguably even more impressive — drawn widest of all, the position most jockeys dread, Cerulean Bay still found a way to win.

O'Meara noted during a stable visit earlier this year that dropping back to seven furlongs — a slightly shorter trip — had been the making of the horse, and that a lame run in Ireland left him feeling there was still something to work with in terms of how the handicapper rates it. That matters, because at this level, every pound of weight added to the saddle makes winning harder.

The recent form — finishing 8th, 5th, 2nd, 4th, 3rd, and 13th across the last six races — tells the story of a horse searching for its next win rather than finding it easily. It has not won since that Goodwood success nine months ago, though the placings suggest it is still competitive. O'Meara's yard has sent out 101 winners this season alone, which signals a well-organised, high-functioning operation — the kind where horses tend to get the conditions they need to perform. Cerulean Bay, who raced just yesterday, remains very much in active training and firmly in the mix.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Effective partnership with Daniel Tudhope: 38% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
Yet to win at Ascot in 6 attempts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Soft (muddy)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
5F – 6½F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Ok
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Jul
8th
York
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
17 Jun
5th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 30 runners
14 May
2nd
York
7f – 1m · Good · 19 runners
25 Apr
4th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
29 Oct
3rd
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 8 runners
18 Oct
13th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 20 runners
12 Oct
🏆 Won
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 15 runners
24 Sep
🏆 Won
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
21 Aug
2nd
York
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 18 runners
9 Aug
2nd
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
37.5%
Win rate
3/8
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Haydock Park
Galloping
7 1 win, 1 third, 5 other 25 Apr 14.3%
Ascot
Galloping
6 2 seconds, 4 other 17 Jun 0%
York
Galloping
4 2 seconds, 2 other 11 Jul 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 wins 30 Aug 100%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 2 wins 12 Oct 100%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 win 21 Jun 100%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 win 10 Jul 100%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Jun 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Sep 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 31 May 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Sep 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 third 29 Oct 0%