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Arthur's Realm

Arthur's Realm is a horse that has learned how to win in exactly the right conditions and nowhere else. At eight years old, this gelding has won just four times in 44 races—a win rate of roughly 1 in 11 starts—but there is nothing random about where those victories have come. Two of them arrived on wet ground, and when the going gets soft or heavy, his record jumps to 2 wins from 7 races, nearly 30 percent. His last victory came at Redcar on 27 May 2024, almost two and a half years ago, when the ground was yielding and he won over a mile and a quarter. His trainer, Ed Dunlop, was cautious about the conditions that day but the holding surface suited him perfectly.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Camelot
Owner
The Wired Partnership
Official rating
72

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
44
Career races
4
Wins
9.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
31.8%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
6 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes Arthur's Realm genuinely interesting is not what he has won but what he has failed to do. He has contested 14 races at Class 3 level without a single victory, suggesting he reaches his ceiling earlier in the racing ladder. His best work has come at Class 2, where he has managed to win, and his trainer has spent the last few years chasing one specific target: the Zetland Gold Cup, a race Arthur's Realm won last year "very impressively" according to Dunlop. That victory reinvigorated the yard's ambitions, but the plan hinges entirely on the weather. The Spring Mile, a race he won back in 2022, came up a few weeks before the end of April 2025, and he finished fifth there—not beaten far, but the ground was not what he needs.

Rossa Ryan has ridden him 9 times and won twice, a 22 percent win rate that is notably higher than his overall record, suggesting real partnership. When Ryan partnered him at Doncaster in March 2022 for his first career win, he felt the horse travel well despite ground concerns, and Arthur's Realm has since become a specialist performer on the wet stuff. At eight, he still shows enthusiasm for racing, and for a modest horse, he has found his niche. He is currently active and was last seen just days ago, which means Dunlop is still searching for that right combination of race, ground, and timing that has eluded him for nearly three years.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 2 wins from 7 starts (29%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Loves
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Oct
10th
Great Yarmouth
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
15 Sep
5th
Great Yarmouth
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
31 Aug
7th
Epsom Downs
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
5 Jun
5th
Goodwood
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
8 Oct
7th
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 16 runners
16 Sep
7th
Great Yarmouth
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
19 Jun
10th
chelmsford
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 10 runners
29 May
11th
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
29 Mar
5th
Doncaster
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
8 Mar
9th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
22.2%
Win rate
2/9
Wins / rides
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Wins / rides
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Mason Paetel
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Ben Curtis
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
chelmsford 6 1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 19 Jun 16.7%
Doncaster
Galloping
5 1 win, 2 thirds, 2 other 29 Mar 20%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
4 4 other 12 Oct 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
3 3 other 31 Aug 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
3 3 other 31 Aug 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 8 Oct 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 4 May 0%
Chester
Tight
2 1 third, 1 other 12 Jul 0%
York
Galloping
2 2 other 14 Jun 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 2 other 5 Jun 0%
Newbury
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 26 Oct 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 win 25 Apr 100%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 win 27 May 100%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 second 30 Jul 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 third 18 Oct 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Mar 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 third 15 Jul 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 5 Apr 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Oct 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 29 May 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Sep 0%