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Draco Malfoy

There is something quietly compelling about a horse that takes its time. Draco Malfoy, a 6-year-old trained by Kim Bailey and Mat Nicholls out of Cheltenham, spent much of his early career finishing placed rather than winning — a horse his trainer openly admits was immature and not yet ready to do himself justice. The yard always liked him, but they were patient, gave him another year, and the results since have been encouraging.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Brown
Father
Harzand
Mother
Two Roses
Owner
Sir F Brooke Sir R Pilkington
Official rating
121

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
9
Career races
2
Wins
22.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
55.6%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
11 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

In 8 races, he has won twice and finished in the places five times, giving him a win rate of 25% — roughly 1 in every 4 races. That is a solid return, and the placed finishes show a horse that rarely runs a bad race. His two most recent wins came at Huntingdon in December 2025 and Hereford in January 2026, and his recent form of two wins from his last six races shows a horse that has genuinely come on this season rather than flattered to deceive.

What stands out most clearly is how much he loves wet or muddy ground. On soft conditions, he has won 2 of his 4 races — that is a 50% win rate, which is a remarkable return for any horse. The trainer has been candid that he is not the quickest, which is why wet, testing ground suits him so well — it slows everyone else down and turns a race into a test of stamina and jumping rather than pure speed. Pair that with his preference for longer distances of two miles or more, where he has won 2 from 5 (40%), and the picture of the horse becomes clear: he needs a proper test, not a sprint on fast ground.

At Class 4 level — the middle tier of racing — he has won 2 of his 3 races, a staggering 67% win rate that suggests he is genuinely competitive at that standard and perhaps has more to offer as the team looks to raise his sights. Bailey has spoken about wanting to do exactly that after getting the wins on the board, and with 31 winners already sent out from the yard this season, this is a team in good form with the confidence to push their horses up in grade.

Draco Malfoy raced just one day ago, so he is right in the thick of his season. The ingredients are there — wet ground, a stamina test, a confident yard behind him — and a horse that took its time to mature is now making up for lost time.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
✔ Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 33% win rate
✔ Effective partnership with Tom Bellamy: 40% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
7 Oct
4th
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
17 Apr
DNF
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 17 runners
7 Mar
8th
Sandown Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
26 Jan
🏆 Won
hereford
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 5 runners
29 Dec
2nd
Doncaster
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
7 Dec
🏆 Won
Huntingdon
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners
6 Feb
5th
Huntingdon
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
2 Jan
3rd
Huntingdon
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
16 Nov
4th
Uttoxeter
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
40%
Win rate
2/5
Wins / rides
Jonathan Burke Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Huntingdon
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 7 Dec 33.3%
hereford 1 1 win 26 Jan 100%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 second 29 Dec 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Mar 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
1 1 other 16 Nov 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Apr 0%
Worcester
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Oct 0%