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Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls

Kim Bailey and Mat Nicholls have been working together for just over a year, and already the numbers tell an encouraging story. In the last 12 months alone, their joint yard has sent out 31 winners from 209 runners — that's roughly 1 in every 7 races — which accounts for the vast majority of their 36 career winners to date. For a partnership that is still finding its feet, that is a genuinely solid foundation.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Role
Trainer
Based
Cheltenham, Gloucs
Record
31 wins from 209 races
Win rate
14.8%
Top jockey
Best course
hereford (33.3% from 12 races)
Best going
Good to soft

📊 Key Numbers

A snapshot of this trainer's performance over the last 12 months
209
Races
31
Wins
14.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
41.6%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Trainer Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes those numbers more meaningful is the direction of travel. Last year the operation was winning around 1 in every 12 or 13 races — an 8% win rate that suggested a yard still settling in. This season that figure has nearly doubled to 15%. Improvement at that rate is not a fluke; it points to a setup that is learning quickly and placing horses in the right races.

The horse that best captures what this team can do when everything clicks is Gatineau Park, who has won 2 of the 4 races the yard has entered him in. Winning half your races with one horse is the kind of return most stables can only dream about, and it suggests a real understanding between trainer and horse in terms of race selection and preparation.

Central to the yard's week-to-week success is jockey Tom Bellamy, who has become the go-to rider here. Across 95 rides together, Bellamy and the Bailey-Nicholls team have combined for 20 wins — that's 1 in every 4 to 5 races, a 21% win rate that puts it well above the stable's overall average. When Bellamy is in the saddle for this yard, the chances of visiting the winner's enclosure rise sharply. That kind of jockey-trainer understanding takes time to build, and they appear to have built it faster than most.

Thirty-six career winners in just over a year is not a headline-grabbing total, but context matters. This is a partnership that started from scratch in January 2025 and has already found a reliable jockey, a standout horse, and a win rate that is climbing in the right direction. The story here is not where they are — it is how quickly they are getting somewhere.

📈 Form Trend

How this trainer's win rate has changed month by month
Monthly win rate
2025–2026
6.9%
Apr
16.7%
May
0%
Jun
0%
Jul
0%
Aug
0%
Sep
17.9%
Oct
25%
Nov
22.2%
Dec
27.8%
Jan
4.8%
Feb
9.1%
Mar

🎯 Where This Trainer Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft
Soft (muddy)
Heavy (very wet)
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Yielding to soft
Standard to slow
Good to firm
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1
Avoids
Class 2
Class 3
Ok
Class 4
Class 5
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Wide and galloping
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Loves
Right-handed, tight turning
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Ok
Left-handed, tight turning
Ok
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Ok
Right-handed, undulating
Ok

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

The riders they work with most, sorted by rides together
Tom Bellamy First Choice
21.1%
Win rate
20/95
Won / Rode
14.5%
Win rate
9/62
Won / Rode
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/7
Won / Rode
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
Isabelle Ryder
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
Aamilah Aswat(10)
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

Top Horses

The strongest horses currently associated with this trainer
Form: 512
Form: 23-215
Form: 3-4222
Form: 0122
Form: 7-89P1
Form: 33/3-1
Form: 21-1
Form: P/1-1F
Form: -9323P

🏟 Course Record

Win rate at each course, sorted by number of races
CourseRacesWinsWin rate
Warwick 18 1 5.6%
Worcester 16 1 6.2%
Uttoxeter 15 3 20%
Huntingdon 14 3 21.4%
Chepstow 14 1 7.1%
Ffos Las 14 0 0%
Doncaster 13 2 15.4%
hereford 12 4 33.3%
Kempton Park 11 1 9.1%
Ludlow 9 2 22.2%
Cheltenham 8 2 25%
Market Rasen 8 1 12.5%
Newbury 5 2 40%
Fontwell Park 5 2 40%
Wincanton 5 1 20%
Stratford-on-Avon 5 0 0%
Lingfield Park 4 1 25%
Southwell 4 0 0%
Exeter 4 0 0%
Haydock Park 3 1 33.3%
Leicester 3 1 33.3%
Aintree 2 1 50%
Windsor 2 0 0%
Sandown Park 2 0 0%
Bangor-on-Dee 2 0 0%
Ascot 2 0 0%
Ayr 1 1 100%
Sedgefield 1 0 0%
Newmarket 1 0 0%
Nottingham 1 0 0%
Punchestown 1 0 0%
Newton Abbot 1 0 0%
Taunton 1 0 0%
Wetherby 1 0 0%
Plumpton 1 0 0%

📅 Recent Results

The last 20 results, most recent first
23 Mar
Kempton Park · Long Distance (2m+) · Good
2nd
23 Mar
Kempton Park · Long Distance (2m+) · Good
3rd
22 Mar
Exeter · Long Distance (2m+) · Good
4th
20 Mar
Newbury · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
2nd
15 Mar
Chepstow · Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
3rd
14 Mar
Kempton Park · Long Distance (2m+) · Good
3rd
14 Mar
Kempton Park · Long Distance (2m+) · Good
10th
13 Mar
Doncaster · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
3rd
13 Mar
Doncaster · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
12 Mar
Cheltenham · Long Distance (2m+) · Good
12 Mar
Cheltenham · Long Distance (2m+) · Good
Won
8 Mar
Warwick · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
4th
8 Mar
Warwick · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
4th
8 Mar
Warwick · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
2nd
8 Mar
Warwick · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
2nd
8 Mar
Warwick · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
4th
8 Mar
Warwick · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
4th
7 Mar
Sandown Park · Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
8th
7 Mar
Ayr · Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
Won
6 Mar
Exeter · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft