The market favourite at 4.33 ran second at Wexford just three weeks ago, beaten by just 0.8 lengths, and followed that with a third at Sligo nine days ago—this is the form horse in the field with genuine momentum. The concern is he's never won in ten races despite those near-misses, but his recent racing suggests he's capable of getting the job done here.
The second-favourite at 4.5 finished third at this track just three weeks ago, suggesting some form on the course, but five career races without a win tell a clear story. This is a mare still searching for her breakthrough, and the market may be overestimating her chances based on one recent decent effort.
Seven races without a win, but he's shown some consistency in recent runs with back-to-back 4th places at Roscommon and Ballinrobe. At 8.0, he's fancied, but one place from seven career races suggests he remains without the quality to break through in a competitive field.
Eight races, zero wins, and just one place—recent form shows 4th at Cork, 10th twice before that, and a massive gap of over 500 days between her last run and a prior outing. This mare looks genuinely out of form and missing the form line needed to win here.
P. Smithers(5)
·
D. Harry Kelly
· 9yo
· 10st 12lb
· OR 84
HeadgearForm
8.4
Good Value
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in the field with one victory at Wexford, and he's won on good-to-yielding ground at that, so he has proven form for these conditions. However, recent form is poor (6th and 4th in his last two), and at nine years old with just two wins from 30 races, he's more honest plodder than race-winner.
Eight years old with six races and zero wins or places, and his recent form shows no improvement: 6th, 4th, 7th spread across his last three runs. At 8.5, the market is generous to a horse that has failed to land a race anywhere yet.
Seven races without a win, but she has placed in two of her last three—most recently a third at Limerick before an unseat and a poor 12th most recently. The inconsistency (37 lengths beaten a month ago after a third-place finish) suggests she lacks the consistency needed in a 17-runner handicap.
M. J P Berry(7)
·
J. A Berry
· 9yo
· 10st 0lb
· OR 72
FormTrack
4.9
Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated runner and carries the lowest weight in the field, with three wins from 38 races at an 8% win rate—a genuine record of performance at this level. She's won on good ground and proven herself at this distance, and at 13.0, she offers better value than several higher-rated rivals who haven't delivered when it matters.
Lowest rated, 13lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldBest record on this ground (2 from 12)Best record at this trip (1 from 4)
Wearing tongue strapFresh (93 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Five races, zero wins—Lincall has never troubled the judge and drifted dramatically in the market from 1.1 to 17.0, a sign the market has given up on its chances here. The standout concern is that it has never raced on normal ground before, making this an untested surface for a horse that hasn't shown ability elsewhere.
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Fifteen races into his career with zero wins, this seven-year-old has placed three times but finished 11th at Kilbeggan just 49 days ago, beaten by over 56 lengths—hardly the form of a dangerous contender. At 19.0, he's a horse time has passed by.
S. O'Callaghan(3)
·
G. McGill
· 8yo
· 10st 5lb
· OR 77
FreshnessForm
4.2
Fresh (1345 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The longest-absent horse in the field—1,345 days (nearly four years)—returning from races in Britain with zero wins and zero places from just four career starts. This is a gamble of the highest order, and his form when he last raced (9th, 10th, 6th, 10th) offers no encouragement.
C. Clarke(7)
·
P. J Rothwell
· 5yo
· 10st 5lb
· OR 77
HeadgearForm
4.2
Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Ten races without a win or place, and his most recent outing was a pulled-up at Kilbeggan 35 days ago, which is a significant red flag. At 23.0, he's a massive outsider, and the data shows little reason to expect improvement on those recent forms.
L. McKenna(3)
·
M. Hassett
· 7yo
· 10st 11lb
· OR 83
FreshnessForm
2.2
Fresh (218 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Nine races without a win or place, and her recent form is dreadful: 13th, 12th, 13th, 6th, 9th, and 14th in her last six outings. At 19.0, she's an outsider for good reason—this mare has shown no signs of being able to compete at this level.
D. O'Connor(7)
·
A. D Leahy
· 14yo
· 10st 11lb
· OR 83
HeadgearFreshness
0.7
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (740 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The ratings favourite has been off the track for nearly two years (740 days), making a dramatic return off a very long absence—his only win came nearly four years ago at Limerick. This is essentially a comeback horse at 14 years old with minimal recent form to judge him by, and at 51.0 odds, the market reflects the huge question marks.
Rated second-highest but has raced only once—pulled up at Wexford 36 days ago—leaving almost no form to judge from. At 19.0 odds despite being top-rated, the market is pricing in this severe lack of racing experience, and one pulled-up run hardly suggests he's ready to win.
Lightly raced with just three career runs and one place finish, but her recent form shows 7th and 11th place finishes without the look of a horse developing toward a win. At 10.0, she's speculative at best—too little data and too little recent form to make a case.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field with 44 career races and two wins, showing the consistency of a proper trier, but he's yet to win at Wexford in eight attempts—a significant disadvantage given the course setup. Recent form (6th, 6th, 3rd) is respectable but not good enough to make him a likely winner at 12.0.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.